August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Antares
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Antares »

Hawk wrote: ↑Tue Aug 10, 2021 9:29 am Yes and maybe we can have a colder/snowy front loaded winter this year. If we can hit 44c at end of June, we can get a major snowstorm and cold for once in December/Early Jan? :shh:
No, only happens in February now. :wave:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Monty
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

I’m feeling a front loaded winter. Something decent in November and/or December
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12Z Euro.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Aug 10, 2021 11:03 am I’m feeling a front loaded winter. Something decent in November and/or December
We're due for a front loaded winter.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Uh oh.

12Z vs. 00Z.
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Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Aug 10, 2021 11:16 am12Z Euro.
No smoke as well. Shoud be humid on Fri though.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Aug 10, 2021 11:42 am Uh oh.

12Z vs. 00Z.
:tiredos:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Aug 10, 2021 12:05 pm:tiredos:
How many years has it been where troughs dry up in the mid range? Not usually seen with AR's but cooler troughs have been less productive in the moisture department the past decade.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Aug 10, 2021 11:16 am12Z Euro.
A little more moderate.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Aug 10, 2021 11:03 am I’m feeling a front loaded winter. Something decent in November and/or December
I would rather have my snow in November, December and January over a sloppy March
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

12z GFS ensembles
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Aug 10, 2021 11:16 am12Z Euro.
Much more realistic than the runs showing KBLI in the low 20's while CYXX is pushing 40.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Aug 10, 2021 11:16 am12Z Euro.
See? Not the heat death of the universe. TREND TOWARD CLIMO.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Tue Aug 10, 2021 1:46 pm See? Not the heat death of the universe. TREND TOWARD CLIMO.
These are the first runs to trend semi reasonable, let's not get ahead of ourselves :lol:

Edit: also that is still scorching!
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Tue Aug 10, 2021 1:03 pm Much more realistic than the runs showing KBLI in the low 20's while CYXX is pushing 40.
I do think YXX could hit 38C on Thursday if there is a lack of wildfire smoke. But most likely not 40C.
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