August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 42050?s=19

Take that Fraser Valley! Sardineman better be coating himself with lemon and dill because he is going to get steamed.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12Z GFS now showing a 40c in Abbotsford on Thursday. :sick:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

NE flow aloft on Thursday morning as per the 12Z GEM. Smoke!
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Aug 09, 2021 8:49 am Take that Fraser Valley! Sardineman better be coating himself with lemon and dill because he is going to get steamed.
:sick: :sick: :sick:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: Mon Aug 09, 2021 10:16 am NE flow aloft on Thursday morning as per the 12Z GEM. Smoke!
Upper level southerly flow brings in smoke aloft Thurs night. Could see a very hazy day on Fri with trapped surface smoke from the Interior and smoke aloft which caps surface temps near 30C.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Aug 09, 2021 10:38 am Upper level southerly flow brings in smoke aloft Thurs night. Could see a very hazy day on Fri with trapped surface smoke from the Interior and smoke aloft which caps surface temps near 30C.
Bonovox wrote: Sat Aug 07, 2021 12:46 pm Something to keep in mind. If those fires in Northern California and southern Oregon get really going (and some have) even southerly flow won't help matters much.
Called it. ;)
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

BC and Washington are basically clear of smoke this morning. Just a small amount coming from the White rock lake fire. 24km+ visibility at most stations. The cool showery weather has really calmed the situation for now.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Aug 09, 2021 10:38 am Upper level southerly flow brings in smoke aloft Thurs night. Could see a very hazy day on Fri with trapped surface smoke from the Interior and smoke aloft which caps surface temps near 30C.
Upper level flow looks more SW Thursday night according to the GFS. I think the westerly component would help prevent the worst of the California smoke from making it its way here.
gfs-deterministic-vancouverski-z850_speed-8845200.png
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Aug 09, 2021 11:04 am Upper level flow looks more SW Thursday night according to the GFS. I think the westerly component would help prevent the worst of the California smoke from making it its way here.
Depends on how much of the California fire smoke makes it out over the ocean. If it does, it would get caught up in the SW flow.

Anyway, the bigger picture is it will be hot late this week. Smoke or no smoke will become clearer a day out or so. Too many variables involved.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: Mon Aug 09, 2021 11:07 am Depends on how much of the California fire smoke makes it out over the ocean. If it does, it would get caught up in the SW flow.

Anyway, the bigger picture is it will be hot late this week. Smoke or no smoke will become clearer a day out or so. Too many variables involved.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Smoke looks pretty isolated and not too bad through Wednesday morning at least. Nothing too thick or widespread
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

12Z Euro has knocked off a couple of degrees on Thursday. Still disgusting though.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monty wrote: Mon Aug 09, 2021 11:12 am Smoke looks pretty isolated and not too bad through Wednesday morning at least. Nothing too thick or widespread
I suspect those fires in the interior will grow as this week progresses.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Bonovox wrote: Mon Aug 09, 2021 11:17 am 12Z Euro has knocked off a couple of degrees on Thursday. Still disgusting though.
When 38 C is the optimistic scenario.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

wetcoast91 wrote: Mon Aug 09, 2021 8:49 am https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 42050?s=19

Take that Fraser Valley! Sardineman better be coating himself with lemon and dill because he is going to get steamed.
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