August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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wetcoast91
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Thurs and Fri. Offshore flow looks weakish so no real mechanism to drive surface smoke to the coast. The presense of a southerly flow near 850mb before the heatwave may bring in some smoke aloft but not enough. 40C looking like a safe bet both days.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

:sick:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Antares »

It's a bit more than a typical summer heatwave. I'd expect surface temps around 30C for a typical heatwave IMBY. Gonna push 35C here. :tiredos:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Aug 08, 2021 12:16 pm Thurs and Fri. Offshore flow looks weakish so no real mechanism to drive surface smoke to the coast. The presense of a southerly flow near 850mb before the heatwave may bring in some smoke aloft but not enough. 40C looking like a safe bet both days.
Hmm. Not sure if I'm hoping for smoke or not lol.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Antares wrote: Sun Aug 08, 2021 12:26 pm It's a bit more than a typical summer heatwave. I'd expect surface temps around 30C for a typical heatwave IMBY. Gonna push 35C here. :tiredos:
If these were equally destructive arctic blasts you're talking like 1996 + 2008 in the same winter.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Aug 08, 2021 12:22 pm:sick:
What are 850s at. I’m having a tough time believing there is gonna be 40C readings west of the mountains with 850s around 24C like the other models are showing. Especially without much in the way of offshore flow. I think the hot spots in the valley top out around 37 or so unless things change in the models.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Hound »

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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monty wrote: Sun Aug 08, 2021 1:17 pm What are 850s at. I’m having a tough time believing there is gonna be 40C readings west of the mountains with 850s around 24C like the other models are showing. Especially without much in the way of offshore flow. I think the hot spots in the valley top out around 37 or so unless things change in the models.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

PortKells wrote: Sun Aug 08, 2021 1:15 pm If these were equally destructive arctic blasts you're talking like 1996 + 2008 in the same winter.
More like 1950 and 1996.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Aug 08, 2021 12:16 pm Thurs and Fri. Offshore flow looks weakish so no real mechanism to drive surface smoke to the coast. The presense of a southerly flow near 850mb before the heatwave may bring in some smoke aloft but not enough. 40C looking like a safe bet both days.
It's truly mind boggling to think some inland regions could hit 40C again this summer. What a historical summer.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sun Aug 08, 2021 1:57 pm More like 1950 and 1996.
Maybe 1950 and 2008? lol I'm just thankful this one is shorter lived. I can't take another two weeks of baking.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Last edited by AbbyJr on Sun Aug 08, 2021 2:34 pm, edited 2 times in total.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Sun Aug 08, 2021 2:16 pm Maybe 1950 and 2008? lol I'm just thankful this one is shorter lived. I can't take another two weeks of baking.
I think this heat wave will persist 4-5 days but probably only a couple days of extreme heat.
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

YVR kept their 21C+ streak going
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Re: August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

When I saw the latest models kill the E winds. My immediate notice was a higher RH%. The lack of smoke + stagnant air with this heat dome will make it feel like late June again.

I expect the models to only trend warmer as we hit the home stretch.
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