August 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

[SouthSardiswx]

25.5C and a bit smoky (but not too bad) here in Cranbrook.

Had some heavy rain yesterday.

So are you officially a Cranbrookian Antmeister?

[LadnerWeather]

00z GFS looks wetter this weekend compared to previous runs. Still pretty dry for early Friday AM tho. Hopefully the trend for the weekend continues on the Euro but I won’t get excited until i see the rain falling

[Bonovox]

00Z GFS. That really isn't enough rain to suppress any fire growth in a meaningful way in the southern interior. For the bulk of the region anyway.

[Bonovox]

00Z GEM is even worse.

[Bonovox]

Nice end to the GFS at day 10. A substantial slug of moisture moves through the interior.

[SouthSardiswx]

00z GFS looks wetter this weekend compared to previous runs. Still pretty dry for early Friday AM tho. Hopefully the trend for the weekend continues on the Euro but I won’t get excited until i see the rain falling

Falling apart, rug pull like winter.

[SouthSardiswx]

Nice end to the GFS at day 10. A substantial slug of moisture moves through the interior.

Outlier

[Bonovox]

This is the run to run consistency of day 10 on the last 5 GFS runs.

[SouthSardiswx]

00z GFS looks wetter this weekend compared to previous runs. Still pretty dry for early Friday AM tho. Hopefully the trend for the weekend continues on the Euro but I won’t get excited until i see the rain falling

Nice to see your around still Ladderman.

[AbbyJr]

This is the run to run consistency of day 10 on the last 5 GFS runs.

That is why I look at the GFS to satisfy my curiosity but I look at the Euro, EPS, RGEM, HRDPS, and HRRR to produce a forecast.

[Bonovox]

For what it is worth, the 18Z Euro was drier on Saturday morning than the 12Z.

[Bonovox]

And the 00Z Euro is taking the moisture south on Saturday.

[Bonovox]

And the 00Z Euro is taking the moisture south on Saturday.

Redeems itself by the afternoon though.

[SouthSardiswx]

Thanks for keeping a handle on things Bones errr maybe not.
Spin the wheel time, darts, pin the tail on the donkey.
I bet the heatwave is still there.

[SouthSardiswx]

Redeems itself by the afternoon though.

Outlier