July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6422
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14705 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

PortKells wrote: Thu Jul 29, 2021 12:48 pm RGem and Nam in lock step while the Euro says nope? Where have we seen this before? Oh yeah...Jan 24th. Someone remind me how that one turned out again...
Yeah, and the Rgem has the precip shield just barely over the Lower Mainland. Easy to see how that misses us completely.

It will be interesting to see how the HRDPS handles it. I never thought I would be model riding in the middle of summer for a day of rain, but here we are.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6605
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 557 times
Been thanked: 11443 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Jul 29, 2021 1:22 pm Yeah, and the Rgem has the precip shield just barely over the Lower Mainland. Easy to see how that misses us completely.

It will be interesting to see how the HRDPS handles it. I never thought I would be model riding in the middle of summer for a day of rain, but here we are.
I kind of do it every summer. I've found a good summer troughing event to be almost as good as a snowfall. I know that sounds crazy but summer troughing means clean air, possibility of campfires, lush green plantlife, no need for watering, no fires and smoke etc. And the consequences of not getting one are worse than not getting any cold and snow in winter IMO.
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4464
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 930 times
Been thanked: 9212 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

EPS also looks slower swinging that trough inland next week. Here we go. :roll:
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6605
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 557 times
Been thanked: 11443 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Wow someone died jumping from that apartment fire in Chilliwack.
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6605
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 557 times
Been thanked: 11443 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Monty wrote: Thu Jul 29, 2021 1:59 pm EPS also looks slower swinging that trough inland next week. Here we go. :roll:
That EPS was horrendous. This is a tease and nothing more.
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4464
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 930 times
Been thanked: 9212 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Monty »

PortKells wrote: Thu Jul 29, 2021 2:18 pm That EPS was horrendous. This is a tease and nothing more.
If that ULL drifts back west off shore it’ll probably end up getting super hot. Not much model support for that from the other models but climo and persistence in the summer pattern say it’s at least possible
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2592
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 3949 times
Been thanked: 4220 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

PortKells wrote: Thu Jul 29, 2021 2:17 pm Wow someone died jumping from that apartment fire in Chilliwack.
Terrible
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2592
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 3949 times
Been thanked: 4220 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

PortKells wrote: Thu Jul 29, 2021 1:44 pm I kind of do it every summer. I've found a good summer troughing event to be almost as good as a snowfall. I know that sounds crazy but summer troughing means clean air, possibility of campfires, lush green plantlife, no need for watering, no fires and smoke etc. And the consequences of not getting one are worse than not getting any cold and snow in winter IMO.
Totally agree
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6605
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 557 times
Been thanked: 11443 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

The 18z keeps the tease going but it does take Sundays shower away.
User avatar
Lisa0527
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 526
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:26 pm
Location: Dunbar at 200 feet
Has thanked: 345 times
Been thanked: 764 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Lisa0527 »

Great UBC talk happening right now on heat dome. https://phas.ubc.ca/heatwave-synoptic-b ... -june-2021

They may post it online as well. Will have a look later.
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6422
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14705 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

PortKells wrote: Thu Jul 29, 2021 3:49 pm The 18z keeps the tease going but it does take Sundays shower away.
To be fair the 12Z only showed about 0.4mm of rain in the valley this weekend. The 18Z definitely is wetter next week though.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 3908
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 22046 times
Been thanked: 7373 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Jul 29, 2021 4:33 pm To be fair the 12Z only showed about 0.4mm of rain in the valley this weekend. The 18Z definitely is wetter next week though.
Hopefully that starts with some light showers so the ground can soften up otherwise it'll all just run off and well have flooding in August
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6422
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4570 times
Been thanked: 14705 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Roberts Creeker wrote: Thu Jul 29, 2021 4:36 pm Hopefully that starts with some light showers so the ground can soften up otherwise it'll all just run off and well have flooding in August
Does start out pretty light and lasts for a while, so fingers crossed.
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
User avatar
Roberts Creeker
Donator
Donator
Posts: 3908
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:17 pm
Location: Upper Roberts Creek
Elevation: 162 M./532 ft.
Has thanked: 22046 times
Been thanked: 7373 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Jul 29, 2021 4:40 pm Does start out pretty light and lasts for a while, so fingers crossed.
Yes fingers crossed. It would be so wonderful to have rain...
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2592
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 3949 times
Been thanked: 4220 times

Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by John »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Jul 29, 2021 4:40 pm Does start out pretty light and lasts for a while, so fingers crossed.
King gfs!
Post Reply