July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Forrest Gump
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Jul 03, 2021 11:45 am Yup. Thankfully, its highly unlikely to verify.

gfs-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-5313600.png
Jr. are you able to post the EPS loop for 12z? I kind of wish I'd kept my subscription but doesn't usually seem worth it in the summer. Apparently the 12z looked decent for average weather later on down the line.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Here's the meteogram. I can post the a actual map loops when I get home if you want. :thumbup:
ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-5313600.png
ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-daily_tmin_tmax-5313600.png
ecmwf-ensemble-CWMM-daily_tmin_tmax-5313600.png
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Sat Jul 03, 2021 3:53 pm Here's the meteogram. I can post the a actual map loops when I get home if you want. :thumbup:

ecmwf-ensemble-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-5313600.png

ecmwf-ensemble-CYVR-daily_tmin_tmax-5313600.png

ecmwf-ensemble-CWMM-daily_tmin_tmax-5313600.png
Oh that works fine too haha. Dang that actually looks pretty reasonable if I'm reading it correctly. No higher than 27? Bring it!
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

The 18Z is hellish again but I'm going to post the part I cherry picked for the sake of positivity.
GFS 18Z July 3.png
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: Sat Jul 03, 2021 4:15 pm The 18Z is hellish again but I'm going to post the part I cherry picked for the sake of positivity.

GFS 18Z July 3.png
At least the 18Z didn't show back to back 40C+ days like the 12Z did. :thumbup:
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

I'd be surprised to see temperatures as moderate as the Euro is showing, but I'd also be surprised if the GFS verified.
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Fall/Winter 2023/24
Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Abby_wx wrote: Sat Jul 03, 2021 4:33 pm I'd be surprised to see temperatures as moderate as the Euro is showing, but I'd also be surprised if the GFS verified.
I think that is probably the most reasonable take. The Euro does have a cool bias at times and we know about the GFS, so something in the middle is probably a safe bet.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: Sat Jul 03, 2021 5:27 pm I think that is probably the most reasonable take. The Euro does have a cool bias at times and we know about the GFS, so something in the middle is probably a safe bet.
Unfortunately, not in the winter. :lol:
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Surface temperatures earlier this week...
groundtmpesaf.png
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Canada Goose wrote: Fri Jul 02, 2021 9:56 pm I need some more photos but if the weather screen is in excellent condition, it's way too close of the house and even maybe of the road.
Cst. Goose, the road is at least 50 yards away it's surrounded by grass.
Not sure how far away from the house if l can get closer to snap a pic. without getting arrested l will, please post my bail if l do. :cops:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

My high in south Sardis today was 31.4c l felt the heat abit today.
I must say the breeze out here today in the central valley really cleared the muck looks much more refreshing today :thumbup:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
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https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Clown range rain alert. One can only hope.

Image
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

tyweather wrote: Sat Jul 03, 2021 8:28 pm Clown range rain alert. One can only hope.

Image
It's a rare sight even for clown range these days.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

PortKells wrote: Sat Jul 03, 2021 8:29 pm It's a rare sight even for clown range these days.
Is this the same as those maps that show feetz of snow? and then we end up with flakes.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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