July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

wetcoast91 wrote: Thu Jul 01, 2021 8:13 am This year is a total write off to go into the interior of BC. There is little rain up expected up there the next two weeks and much of the greenery has turned brown or died. There's way too much fuel up there. This is going to be a really bad fire season so I would just save the inconvenience of having to evacuate at a moments notice.
But hey, at least backcountry camping is a go!
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Jul 01, 2021 1:51 am June 30th highs
Ashcroft: 47.0C

Kamloops: 46.6C

Clearwater: 44.9C
Warfield (Trail): 44.8C
Summerland: 44.7C
Kelowna: 44.4C

Merritt: 43.8C
Princeton: 43.1C
Osoyoos: 43.0C

Lillooet: 42.2C

Creston: 41.3C
Nakusp: 41.0C

Golden: 40.7C
Nelson: 40.7C
Blue River: 40.3C

Cranbrook: 39.4C
Revelstoke: 38.1C
Yoho National Park: 37.9C
Mackenzie: 35.2C
Dawson Creek: 34.9C
The number that's most impressive here is Yoho national Park. At 1600m elevation, 38 degrees is even more impressive than Lytton's 50. If we assume 1 degree rise per 100m drop, Yoho would have been 51 degrees at Lytton's elevation.

But 90% of Lytton burned down last night, and if the weather station also burned, then the village probably set a new Canadian record for the 4 th day in a row of something like 1000 degrees.

After and before picture...
206852655_4117564378337763_8123955604964726640_n.jpg
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Here’s hoping for a wet and cool July and August. But, who are we kidding. :roll: :tiredos:
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Jul 01, 2021 8:36 am Surface smoke forecast. Previous map was vertically-integrated smoke.
trc1_t1sfc_f48.png

Source: https://rapidrefresh.noaa.gov/hrrr/HRRRsmoke/
Surface is what really matters re. air quality I would think. If it's all upper air smoke it shouldn't be too much concern for the mainland.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Jul 01, 2021 11:31 am Surface is what really matters re. air quality I would think. If it's all upper air smoke it shouldn't be too much concern for the mainland.
Probably true, but we are surrounded by fires now except to the west. Fires in California, Oregon, and the interior. It's just a matter of time.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Jul 01, 2021 11:39 am Probably true, but we are surrounded by fires now except to the west. Fires in California, Oregon, and the interior. It's just a matter of time.
Yes, all that the lower air HRRR outlook means is that we are safe for the next few days. Eventually, we will be in the murk. I just can’t see avoiding it entirely this year, and given how early fire season is starting, it seems likely that we will have even more smoky days than the worst of the recent bad smoke seasons.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Thu Jul 01, 2021 1:55 pm Yes, all that the lower air HRRR outlook means is that we are safe for the next few days. Eventually, we will be in the murk. I just can’t see avoiding it entirely this year, and given how early fire season is starting, it seems likely that we will have even more smoky days than the worst of the recent bad smoke seasons.
I Bought some n95 masks and considering a hepa filter. At least trying to do something about it this time, of course theres not much you can do about the gloominess that it brings.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Anyone hear about a grass fire along highway 1 in between Young rd and Prest rd. there's a burnt stretch about 40 yards in length that l didn't see yesterday.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

I'm a proud British Columbian when Lytton hit the all time Canadian high, today l'm in complete misery over the devastation in Lytton.
They've had fires over the years around the town and escaped unscathed what made this the perfect storm.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Glacier wrote: Thu Jul 01, 2021 11:20 am The number that's most impressive here is Yoho national Park. At 1600m elevation, 38 degrees is even more impressive than Lytton's 50. If we assume 1 degree rise per 100m drop, Yoho would have been 51 degrees at Lytton's elevation.

But 90% of Lytton burned down last night, and if the weather station also burned, then the village probably set a new Canadian record for the 4 th day in a row of something like 1000 degrees.

After and before picture...
206852655_4117564378337763_8123955604964726640_n.jpg
Well Mr. Freezer under normal circumstances l would LOL about the 1000 degree comment but not today bud.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

PortKells wrote: Thu Jul 01, 2021 10:57 am Happy Canada Day :roll:
l sense your sarcasm Mr. Kells and l don't blame you with all that's gone or going on.
I don't think many members can stomach celebrating right now.
When l posted the new July topic normally l would have started with happy canada day. This year just doesn't feel right to be saying that what a shame.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Oh great! reports of a major Tstorm in Kamloops right now. :o
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Thu Jul 01, 2021 9:40 pm Oh great! reports of a major Tstorm in Kamloops right now. :o
Bunch of small fires reported, one is in city limits in the Juniper Hill area..hopefully they can contain it quickly. At least there was some rain with the storms but everything is already so dry :thumbdown:
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Looks like a fire started up near or around the Kamloops area.

Edit: Ladner man beat me to the punch above.
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Re: July 2021 Forecasts And Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

LadnerWeather wrote: Thu Jul 01, 2021 10:20 pm Bunch of small fires reported, one is in city limits in the Juniper Hill area..hopefully they can contain it quickly. At least there was some rain with the storms but everything is already so dry :thumbdown:
Just awful. You can hear the wind just whipping the flames in one of the videos.
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