May 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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May 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Will this be the start of a dry month trend into the Summer/Fall? Let's see! Hopefully, the smoke isn't as bad as last year though.
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Re: May 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

I hope we get some good t-storm days this year!
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Re: May 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

VanCitySouth wrote: Wed May 01, 2019 2:01 pm I hope we get some good t-storm days this year!
Same here, but I doubt it.

On another note, I've seen 2 fires this week started in the median of the road and at a mall from discarded cigarettes. One involved the fire dept. showing up. Smokers are pathetic trash. :evil:
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Re: May 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Sad to hear the passing of Jason Botchford, beat writer fot the Knucks he was only 48 heart failure. :(
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Re: May 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

I'm hoping for comfortable temps. please non of this 30c plus crap!
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Re: May 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Wed May 01, 2019 3:58 pm Sad to hear the passing of Jason Botchford, beat writer fot the Knucks he was only 48 heart failure. :(
Just heard about this today. Totally shocking. Absolutely horrible. I loved reading and listening to his stuff. He was really good at what he did. This is so sad. :thumbdown: :cry: :thumbdown: :cry:
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Re: May 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Models are beginning to lock in on a monster ridge building in during the middle of next week. Could lock into a Rex block pattern. Wouldn’t surprise me if we stayed dry or nearly dry thru mid May.
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Re: May 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: Wed May 01, 2019 9:30 pm Models are beginning to lock in on a monster ridge building in during the middle of next week. Could lock into a Rex block pattern. Wouldn’t surprise me if we stayed dry or nearly dry thru mid May.
That would pretty much guarantee a cool/wet June. Warm/dry May and June combos are pretty rare; 2015 being a notable recent exception.
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Re: May 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed May 01, 2019 10:34 pm That would pretty much guarantee a cool/wet June. Warm/dry May and June combos are pretty rare; 2015 being a notable recent exception.
Maybe. Can’t think of any warm ENSO/ cool June’s this century though.

What about last year? Was June wet over there? It was slightly warm and drier than normal over here.
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Re: May 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Summer. :clap:
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Re: May 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Monty wrote: Wed May 01, 2019 11:00 pm Maybe. Can’t think of any warm ENSO/ cool June’s this century though.

What about last year? Was June wet over there? It was slightly warm and drier than normal over here.
June was pretty seasonal if I remember correctly. Some rain some sun. It was a beautiful stretch right up until that string of heatwaves starting around July 8 or so.
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Re: May 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Precip here has been just 54% of normal over the last 3 months. Next weeks warm spell could take out what is left of the snowpack, appears to be less than 50% on the southern island now.
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Re: May 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Could see some offshore flow develop next week with a warm airmass overhead. First shot of upper 20s looks possible.
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Re: May 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

The 00Z NCEP model run on the EPS Gram shows potential for almost 25C around the 13th in Vancouver. Score!
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Re: May 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

No thanks..
But some showers popping up in the valley today.
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