February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[AbbyJr]

https://twitter.com/MMadryga/status/136 ... 57185?s=19

[Monty]

Gfs ensemble shows 7cm of snow tonight YYJ. I doubt that verifies at sea level but it did well with the December snow. I’d expect higher elevations and the malahat will get a quick shot of heavy snow tonight.

[John]

Gfs ensemble shows 7cm of snow tonight YYJ. I doubt that verifies at sea level but it did well with the December snow. I’d expect higher elevations and the malahat will get a quick shot of heavy snow tonight.

What about east valley Monty? You will score with this I am sure

[Monty]

What about east valley Monty? You will score with this I am sure

Have to see how much south wind is out ahead of the precip. Tough call. Probably some accumulation chilliwack and east.

[AbbyJr]

Have to see how much south wind is out ahead of the precip. Tough call. Probably some accumulation chilliwack and east.

GFS insists that Abbotsford see's around 10cm. Probably poor resolution. I doubt we see that much at lower elevations.

[Hound]

https://twitter.com/DuaneBurnett/status ... 4382244867

https://twitter.com/DuaneBurnett/status ... 7497208834

[Monty]

GFS insists that Abbotsford see's around 10cm. Probably poor resolution. I doubt we see that much at lower elevations.

10cm seems extremely unlikely

[Hound]

https://twitter.com/50ShadesofVan/statu ... 9191096324

[Glacier]

-12C in mid March?

gfs-deterministic-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-4103200.png

Early this month the dewpoint was -22, so -12 in march isn't too far off of possibilities. Not sure about -12 temperatures though.

dpfeb12.png

[AbbyJr]

10cm seems extremely unlikely

Yeah the GFS solution is unrealistic. I'd be shocked if it even came close to verifying.

[VanCitySouth]

Yeah the GFS solution is unrealistic. I'd be shocked if it even came close to verifying.

And yet.

Today's forecast calls for a mix of lofty expectations and false hope, with an increasing chance of rug pulls.

[SouthSardiswx]

And yet.

Today's forecast calls for a mix of lofty expectations and false hope, with an increasing chance of rug pulls.

Yup one thing is certain continuous losses by the Knuckles.

[Canada Goose]

Meanwhile, in northern Japan...

https://twitter.com/ThierryGooseBC/stat ... 2422987782

[Weatherhead]

Gfs ensemble shows 7cm of snow tonight YYJ. I doubt that verifies at sea level but it did well with the December snow. I’d expect higher elevations and the malahat will get a quick shot of heavy snow tonight.

Hopefully it stays a malahat and up special. I'm ready for spring and ball season.

[Roberts Creeker]

Hey do you have bobcats there? Might have just discovered a bit of a big cat problem here. Almost took one of our cats just now. We stared at each other through the window for a solid three seconds too.

Glad you scared him off and saved your cat.

We do have bobcats here, I usually see at least one a year. I've always seen them hunting chickens, had a gorgeous one, big male come 2 years in a row, he would jump down through the netting over my pens, grab a chicken and climb back up a fence post, push through the netting and take off with it. I ended up locking the chickens in for a couple of weeks.

I went out to chase a different one off, he was sitting mesmerized by the chickens and didn't run until I was about 10' away. I was just beginning to wonder if he was going to run or if I should stop when he took off.

I have noticed that when you have livestock you often see the wild life because they see it and will alert you to it. If the chickens hadn't been making a racket, I never would have seen any of them, they blend right in.

The dog knows if the chickens are screaming to go check them out. Today she alerted me to a hawk sitting on a post trying to decide if he could get under the netting.

Once your dog is up and about that should keep the bobcat away. How is she doing?