April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Bonovox
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Now that is a beautiful forecast. 8-)
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Canada Goose wrote: ↑Mon Apr 01, 2019 8:41 pm Image
60-100mm for the inner south coast seems pretty generous. Not sure what models they base this off of. The ~60mm shown for Victoria likely has high bust potential
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

https://twitter.com/ensembleator/status ... 8205017093

https://twitter.com/NEWS1130Weather/sta ... 3612059648
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Apr 02, 2019 10:27 am 60-100mm for the inner south coast seems pretty generous. Not sure what models they base this off of. The ~60mm shown for Victoria likely has high bust potential
Definitely seems high. Reality looks closer to 50 mm for most of the south coast; less in Victoria, but a bit more near the mountains.
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Abby_wx wrote: ↑Tue Apr 02, 2019 10:55 am Definitely seems high. Reality looks closer to 50 mm for most of the south coast; less in Victoria, but a bit more near the mountains.
Maybe like 30-50mm by Sunday for lower mainland.
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Total rain through Sunday morning.
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Apr 02, 2019 6:32 pm Total rain through Sunday morning.
Not much
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Unfortunately not.
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Had a few rain showers overnight and this morning. 3.8mm.
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Monty wrote: ↑Wed Apr 03, 2019 10:25 am Had a few rain showers overnight and this morning. 3.8mm.
It's been raining steadily here this morning.
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

20 mm here today so far.
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Abby_wx wrote: ↑Wed Apr 03, 2019 11:20 am 20 mm here today so far.
The rainfall discrepancy between Shawnigan and Abbotsford YXX really becomes noticeable as we move towards the dry season. Shawnigan is actually slightly wetter in average during December and January. But by April we see 40% less and by May it’s 50%.
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

Monty wrote: ↑Wed Apr 03, 2019 11:31 am The rainfall discrepancy between Shawnigan and Abbotsford YXX really becomes noticeable as we move towards the dry season. Shawnigan is actually slightly wetter in average during December and January. But by April we see 40% less and by May it’s 50%.
Makes sense. The rainshadow is usually non-existent during the warm season. That's what keeps Abbotsford so "dry" in the winter.
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Nimbus »

Monty wrote: ↑Wed Apr 03, 2019 10:25 am Had a few rain showers overnight and this morning. 3.8mm.
Only 3.3 mm here...had some overnight and the odd shower today.
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Re: April 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Michael1 »

0n a related note, further along, El Nino is forecast to peak in June/July and return to neutral by September. As of yet, the atmosphere has not responded and no reinforcement has taken place. twice the atmosphere has spurned the ocean's advances. Let the be an end to it for a few seasons.
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