February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

Dang. I thought y'all would have done way better.

Yeah, it was pretty disappointing here. Some places in the lower mainland did break the 10cm barrier though.

Honestly it's cool to see other places in the PNW get these top tier snowfalls (I believe this was Seattle's biggest one-day snowfall since 1969?) over the past few years. Shows they can still happen even with the warming climate. Vancouver's turn will hopefully come soon.

[SouthHillFrosty]

Yeah, it was pretty disappointing here. Some places in the lower mainland did break the 10cm barrier though.

Honestly it's cool to see other places in the PNW get these top tier snowfalls (I believe this was Seattle's biggest one-day snowfall since 1969?) over the past few years. Shows they can still happen even with the warming climate. Vancouver's turn will hopefully come soon.

Yea it was! The last week of Feb is trending colder. I do not think winter is over yet.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Bellingham area should be several shades darker, but I guess it has limited resolution.

[wetcoast91]

Nice block.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Dang. I thought y'all would have done way better.

Bellingham was just far enough south to get in on the fun. BCLM was just far enough north to get mostly left out of it.

Would have been region-wide up this way had the low tracked 50 miles further north. (But then Portland would have been left out.)

[SouthSardiswx]

Snowfall warning still up for the valley another 10 to 20cm where do they see that. I recieved 5cm this morning.

[Nimbus2]

This was posted on the Vancouver Island Weather Enthusiasts FB page. Such a cool photo!

[SouthSardiswx]

This was posted on the Vancouver Island Weather Enthusiasts FB page. Such a cool photo!

It is could be a Christmas card photo. it is still flurrying out here to warm to stick though. Alot of the snow from this morning has melted maybe half of what l recieved is left.

[Typeing3]

I have my doubts that we see anymore meaningful cold or snow this winter. That said, I wouldn't complain about a February 2014, 2018, March 1951, or 2002 redux.

You should check out late Feb/early March 1955, 1956, 1960 or 1962 on the EC historical data charts. Those were some other good or great late winter events during that era.

[AbbyJr]

You should check out late Feb/early March 1955, 1956, 1960 or 1962 on the EC historical data charts. Those were some other good or great late winter events during that era.

Thanks. Some great late winter events in those years for sure.

[westside33]

I've noticed this as well. Dec/16 I think it was: nothing until just before the King George exit on Hwy 99. There must have been at least 15cm in South Surrey/White Rock, and then nothing once I got to within a few km of Bellingham.

We moved to South Surrey last year. I was a bit hesitant at first given the proximity to the water and exposure to the warming SW winds, but so far it seems the area preformed decently well for summer heat, especially given I'm only about 3.5km from the coast, and decent during the 2 crappy snowfalls we had this year. Luckily the outflow often favours us vs areas further North and West. Looking forward to a few actual region-wide snowfalls so I can properly compare.

Seems to happen quite frequently in that area. First time I experienced it was about 25 years ago. Snowing and starting to stick in Nanaimo, wet snow that turned to rain in Vancouver by the time I got out of the city. Then I’m driving past Delta on Highway 99 and “That’s odd, the shoulder of the road looks like it is turning white. And why are those raindrops on the edge of my windshield not moving? Uh-oh.”

Everything was an icy mess until just north of Ferndale. By the time I was passing through Bellingham it was +4ËšC and raining.

[PortKells]

Thanks. Some great late winter events in those years for sure.

Sigh. Ensembles trending east again
We are forever screwed. And Nito is stomping on our grave.

[AbbyJr]

Someone on Twitter suggested that La Nina actually decreases our chances of top tier cold in the PNW, because it favours a NW flow. He went on to say that we might have better luck next winter when La Nina weakens.

This is interesting. Perhaps this is why statistically, moderate-strong La Nina's are not associated with big time cold events here? Part of me wonders if neutral-weak Nina's combined with a +QBO is the best outcome for us? The 1990/1991 winter was neutral/+QBO.

What are all of your thoughts?

[Bonovox]

Someone on Twitter suggested that La Nina actually decreases our chances of top tier cold in the PNW, because it favours a NW flow. He went on to say that we might have better luck next winter when La Nina weakens.

This is interesting. Perhaps this is why statistically, moderate-strong La Nina's are not associated with big time cold events here? Part of me wonders if neutral-weak Nina's combined with a +QBO is the best outcome for us? The 1990/1991 winter was neutral/+QBO.

What are all of your thoughts?

I know the statistics may say otherwise, but I'll take my chances with a weak or neutral ENSO. This winter was a steaming pile of garbage.

[SouthSardiswx]

I was going to grade this winter only a C- despite this week.