February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Canada Goose
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Feb 14, 2021 5:36 pm Later this evening but looks like it should be mostly rain below 300m.
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tyweather
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

I picked up 1-2 cm in Newton. Up on the hills the trees are all white. At Bear Creek park it didn't look like it snowed at all. Spent the afternoon in Fleetwood sledding. Probably snowed 2-3 cm while we were there.
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Canada Goose wrote: Sun Feb 14, 2021 5:39 pm Capture d’écran 2021-02-14 à 17.38.44.jpg
Should start out has heavy rain but HRRR catching that as well. Interesting to see it keeps indicating snow for the Western portion of Metro Van. No outflow signal on the meso model.

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Willoughby »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Feb 14, 2021 5:36 pm Later this evening but looks like it should be mostly rain below 300m.
I think you may be underestimating the strength and depth of the cold in the interior.
Look down south towards the northern Willamette valley. They were modeled and forecast to be all rain by late yesterday, yet they’re hanging on to frozen precip until tonight, at least for low!
Not saying this is a slam dunk for us, but perhaps tomorrow morning could be the snowiest so far...
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by JaidynB »

Spent my whole day on the ATV. Get out there and enjoy even if it does turn to rain!!
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by East Chilliwack »

Tomcat wrote: Sun Feb 14, 2021 4:00 pm Finally seeing some flakes falling!
Aaaaand... they stopped :sick:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Snow biking for Sardine!
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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by East Chilliwack »

Wintergirl wrote: Sun Feb 14, 2021 4:09 pm Trust me I know the feeling...it has been a big let down here in Squamish too. Just the cold and wind! Started snowing about an hr ago pretty heavy and blowing with the winds so maybe Squamish and Chilliwack score tonight when others get rain :thumbup: :thumbup:
It does usually end with us getting more snow on the transition to rain, however it’s much more fun to get snow and then a few days of cold vs snow to rain.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Canada Goose wrote: Sun Feb 14, 2021 5:39 pm Capture d’écran 2021-02-14 à 17.38.44.jpg
Diabetic cooling? Is that like an ice bath that uses sugar instead of salt to lower the melting point in order to keep insulin cold?
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Vancouver »

Rain.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

East Chilliwack wrote: Sun Feb 14, 2021 5:54 pm It does usually end with us getting more snow on the transition to rain, however it’s much more fun to get snow and then a few days of cold vs snow to rain.
Squamish, Chilliwack, and just about everyplace else in the Pacific Northwest. Maybe 15% of the cold snaps I’ve experienced in the Northwest have come with a nice batch of what I call “leading snow.” Sure is nice when it happens.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pomoman »

Remarkably consistent 0c on 95% of the stations on the weather u/g right now. This has to be a good thing yeah?
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by moonshadow0825 »

as others have said it snowed all day here until about 4ish, picked up a couple of cm, mostly wet. 0c and 0 dewpoint right now, dewpoint never got above 0 but temp rose to about 1.5C

bit of mixed precip right now. be interested to see if temp drops enough to snow again
:wsnow: :13snow:

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Willoughby wrote: Sun Feb 14, 2021 5:47 pm I think you may be underestimating the strength and depth of the cold in the interior.
Look down south towards the northern Willamette valley. They were modeled and forecast to be all rain by late yesterday, yet they’re hanging on to frozen precip until tonight, at least for low!
Not saying this is a slam dunk for us, but perhaps tomorrow morning could be the snowiest so far...
Normally I would agree but the cold Interior pool has been wiped out. Lytton has warmed up to -3 and Kamloops -2.

Any dynamic cooling tonight will be due to trajectory of the low and intense precip rates...similar to what occured on Dec 21.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Pomoman wrote: Sun Feb 14, 2021 6:03 pm Remarkably consistent 0c on 95% of the stations on the weather u/g right now. This has to be a good thing yeah?
I think we're running a tiny bit cooler than modeled?
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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