February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Monty]

Monty/storm do you think chilliwack east could see 25+cm?

Yea It’s possible

[Monty]

Doing better than I expected this morning. Looks like 4-5cm already.

EC is forecasting 15-20cm for the malahat. Or is it 20-30cm.

“ 4:43 AM PST Sunday 14 February 2021
Snowfall warning in effect for:

Malahat Highway - Goldstream to Mill Bay
A long period of snowfall with total amounts of 15 to 20 cm is expected.

A Pacific front will cross Vancouver Island today spreading snow over Vancouver Island. The snow is expected to become mixed with rain this evening as another system reaches the region. Snow at times mixed with rain will continue through Monday. Total snowfall amount of 20 to 30 cm is expected by Monday afternoon.”

[South Island]

We have about 2-3 cm of new snow in Victoria. Snowing nicely right now.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Yea It’s possible

Looking at the latest Euro and GFS runs, up to 10 cm seems much more realistic for that area.

(And I would be lucky to get half that amount.)

[Storm]

Looking at the latest Euro and GFS runs, up to 10 cm seems much more realistic for that area.

(And I would be lucky to get half that amount.)

More snow for them after this hour.

930947962_gfs-deterministic-washington-total_snow_10to1-3433600(2).thumb.png.92dba953ebd87524b4a24172430eae8e.png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_9.png

[wetcoast91]

Live view of the banana belt.



Makes you wonder if there's a source of dry cold air that comes from Pitt Lake as there's snow just west in Coquitlam and in Haney.

[Monty]

Looking at the latest Euro and GFS runs, up to 10 cm seems much more realistic for that area.

(And I would be lucky to get half that amount.)

We’ll see how long it takes to warm the east valley in this pattern. Could be awhile

[Storm]

We’ll see how long it takes to warm the east valley in this pattern. Could be awhile

They are going to get hammered.

sn10_acc.us_nw-1.png

[SunnyinLadner]

Snowing lightly this morning, a fresh dusting everywhere

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

More snow for them after this hour.
930947962_gfs-deterministic-washington-total_snow_10to1-3433600(2).thumb.png.92dba953ebd87524b4a24172430eae8e.png

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_9.png

That still puts them more in the 15 cm range, not 25. And the Euro is significantly more stingy.

[Forrest Gump]

It has started snowing here, probably for at least half hr.

[Abby_wx]

A few flakes flying here, but it looks like the bulk of it is going south once again.

Temp -0.6C, dew point -5.6C

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

A few flakes flying here, but it looks like the bulk of it is going south once again.

Temp -0.6C, dew point -5.6C

Looking at the 06z Euro and GFS runs, up to 10 cm for you in the next 24 hours seems quite likely. (GFS says you should see around 15 cm, Euro about half that.)

[VanCitySouth]

Happy Sunday! Pleasant surprise this morning. Light snow, 1 cm new.

[wetcoast91]

A few flakes flying here, but it looks like the bulk of it is going south once again.

Temp -0.6C, dew point -5.6C

Was snowing here but now down to very flurries with filtered sunshine coming out. Can make the outline of the North Shore towards Coquitlam. RH at the surface doesn't seem dry but my guess is weak outflow aloft killing this next wave of moisture from entering too far Inland. Tomorrows system certainly looks more juicy.