February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Catnip]

Regular snowfall map comparison.

VERY nice improvements.



C'MON!!!

18z

18z.png

12z

12z.png

[SouthSardiswx]

Currently -3.6c low -9.5c peak gust 50kmh @ 8a.m.

[SouthSardiswx]

EC forecast is not impressive for snowfall at all.

[AbbyJr]

How does that compare to the 12z Kuchera?

Here's the comparison.

18Z:

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera-3282400 (2).png

12Z:

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera-3282400 (1).png

[Hawk]

So let me get this correct, based on these next few events. Seattle, Victoria and Portland will likely have more accumulated snow than the ANUSHOLE called LM and Valley. Then by the time the system arrives by Monday or so..it changes to rain here? and
Nito is right again!! Tumbleweeds..followed by a slow warm up by the time we get enough precip here lmao.
I wish i was here to celebrate with all my buttees...but i am leaving this sad snow climate for the Similkameeeeeeeen SNOWS. Yes.

Edit: I am actually passing through Annusford, Annusiz and then Hole to get to the Similkameen.

[Typeing3]

ecmwf-deterministic-vancouverski-total_snow_kuchera-3282400.png

Very nice... looks like it's showing 18cm at YVR tomorrow. Glad to have the euro on our side for this one.

Maybe, just maybe, that 12/21/08 repeat is back in the cards?

[Storm]

So let me get this correct, based on these next few events. Seattle, Victoria and Portland will likely have more accumulated snow than the ANUSHOLE called LM and Valley. Then by the time the system arrives by Monday or so..it changes to rain here? and
Nito is right again!! Tumbleweeds..followed by a slow warm up by the time we get enough precip here lmao.
I wish i was here to celebrate with all my buttees...but i am leaving this sad snow climate for the Similkameeeeeeeen SNOWS. Yes.

Edit: I am actually passing through Annusford, Annusiz and then Hole to get to the Similkameen.

Not Portland.

[PortKells]

Nice to have the Euro on our side. Jan 24th it was giving us nothing and I tried not to believe it. But I'm betting that the mesoscales fall in line with it soon enough.

[Catnip]

00z NCEP Snowfall

I'll take one batch of the 95% Percentile please and thank you.

50.png

75.png

90.png

95.png

[Catnip]

18Z Blend

18Z Blend.png

[Storm]

So EC is doing nothing about this?

[SouthSardiswx]

My good luck charm is missing Mr. Invisible man. maybe he's been banned for inaccurate measurements.

[Catnip]

So EC is doing nothing about this?

That is a good thing imo.

[Catnip]

Latest HRRR showing an inch or two on the Western areas of Metro by 9am.

Monty is already buried by then.

hrrr snow.png

[Typeing3]

00z NCEP Snowfall

I'll take one batch of the 95% Percentile please and thank you.


50.png
75.png
90.png
95.png

The 50th percentile map would triple my winter snowfall to date.