February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5331
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4381 times
Been thanked: 10691 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 10:49 am That 12Z NAM is pretty impressive with the north trend. A bit further north and the Lower Mainland will be in on the big snows Saturday. :shock: :o :shock:

12Z:
12ZNAM.png


6Z:
6ZNAM.png

Even with the current solution, totals are still much improved:

12Z:
12ZNAMsnow.png


6Z:
6ZNAMsnow.png
35 cm here! Woo-hoo! Too bad it's just the NAM.
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5331
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4381 times
Been thanked: 10691 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Catnip wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 10:51 am I'm guessing those ice bombs are just going to be something that motorists will need to deal with going forward, considering they have yet to find a proper solution.
Roof over the roadway? Ice bomb shed?
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6703
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 562 times
Been thanked: 11574 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 10:57 am Without a doubt. Models have really struggled in the medium-long range this winter.
Still tracking that progression in the long range. Looks like another block could form. Not worth tracking until 3 days out anyways but I can't help myself.

It really is too bad that Jan 24 "event" busted so hard. If that had turned out and this one did, combined with that December snowfall..this would easily be an above average to good winter for recent times. As it is, everything is now riding on this low. Another dud here and this winter is a hard bust. But the trend is definitely our friend. :thumbup:
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

B218807B-E8CB-4228-A4A3-E41F5B47D4E7.png
2DFAE142-920B-4E93-BFC6-EC798B2DC95A.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Just in time. New wood stove.
A17AFF26-7975-4440-9E16-78D1B1B58F12.jpeg
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6234
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6174 times
Been thanked: 14167 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:11 am B218807B-E8CB-4228-A4A3-E41F5B47D4E7.png2DFAE142-920B-4E93-BFC6-EC798B2DC95A.png
Supressed cherry blossoms, dead tulips....
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6234
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6174 times
Been thanked: 14167 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:15 am Just in time. New wood stove.

A17AFF26-7975-4440-9E16-78D1B1B58F12.jpeg
Ohhh shes a beauty
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4571
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 28795 times
Been thanked: 9773 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:16 am Supressed cherry blossoms, dead tulips....
I can accept that!
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:16 am Supressed cherry blossoms, dead tulips....
Flat west coast ridge. Ridge building in towards the Aleutians. PV lobe moving into the Yukon. :think:
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4571
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 28795 times
Been thanked: 9773 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Catnip wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 10:51 am I'm guessing those ice bombs are just going to be something that motorists will need to deal with going forward, considering they have yet to find a proper solution.
Tear the bridge down and build one that actual works and is actually straight rather than curved on the deck like it is. Coming out of Surrey heading onto the bridge on the first curve you think you will be heading straight and then it curves again in an un-natural way to what the physics should be delivering thus causing an accident there countless times. Garbage bridge.
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4571
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 28795 times
Been thanked: 9773 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Monty wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:15 am Just in time. New wood stove.
I'm coming over with BIG marshmallows!

Image
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12754
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22223 times
Been thanked: 24615 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 10:49 am That 12Z NAM is pretty impressive with the north trend. A bit further north and the Lower Mainland will be in on the big snows Saturday. :shock: :o :shock:

12Z:
12ZNAM.png


6Z:
6ZNAM.png

Even with the current solution, totals are still much improved:

12Z:
12ZNAMsnow.png


6Z:
6ZNAMsnow.png
3km NAM is your friend at this range. :wave:
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
Rubus_Leucodermis
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5331
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 5:48 pm
Location: Vancouver
Elevation: 70 m / 230 ft
Has thanked: 4381 times
Been thanked: 10691 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:16 am Supressed cherry blossoms, dead tulips....
I’ve seen it drop to -8˚C in the Rockies when tulips were in bud. Surprisingly little damage. Most of them bloomed just fine. And I’ve seen daffodils survive -14˚C. Springtime bulb plants are surprisingly tough.
Last edited by Rubus_Leucodermis on Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:26 am, edited 1 time in total.
It's called clown range for a reason.
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12754
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22223 times
Been thanked: 24615 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 11:19 am Flat west coast ridge. Ridge building in towards the Aleutians. PV lobe moving into the Yukon. :think:
Maybe Jr will finally get that March 1951 repeat he's wanted. :thumbup:
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
tyweather
Model Rider
Model Rider
Posts: 1596
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:39 pm
Location: Newton, Surrey, EL. 70m
Has thanked: 68 times
Been thanked: 3600 times

Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Catnip wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 10:51 am I'm guessing those ice bombs are just going to be something that motorists will need to deal with going forward, considering they have yet to find a proper solution.
I don't think that ice bombs would be a problem on Saturday if it is cold enough. Need that sticky snow, not champagne snow.
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
Post Reply