February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Monty
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 8:07 am I’d think it be fine with the outflow cranking?
Outflow cranking and low landfalls to our south. Will keep the low level cold in place. 925mb temps remain very cold tonight. Gfs shows -10C over Victoria tonight. Champagne powder!
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Monty wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 9:15 am Outflow cranking and low landfalls to our south. Will keep the low level cold in place. 925mb temps remain very cold tonight. Gfs shows -10C over Victoria tonight. Champagne powder!
And you don’t need to travel to the Okanagan for it!

:lol:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

low of -5.6 overnight,
currently -5.1
dp -10
humidity 70%
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Catnip wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 9:16 am And you don’t need to travel to the Okanagan for it!

:lol:
We get the South Okanagan experience. Dust and dead grass. ;)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Bonovox wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 8:15 am Yeah. Pretty decent improvement over the 06z. Hmm. :think:


12z vs 06z
I’m getting a bit excited seeing these 40cm+ Bullseyes over the Shawnigan lake area. Even on the 10:1 snow maps. Usually it’s the kuchera ratios that go all nutty. Nice to see these improvements in the home stretch
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Monty wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 9:19 am I’m getting a bit excited seeing these 40cm+ Bullseyes over the Shawnigan lake area. Even on the 10:1 snow maps. Usually it’s the kuchera ratios that go all nutty. Nice to see these improvements in the home stretch
It feels like you've had a 30 cm event every year since I've been lurking here. Wish I could move ->
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

If anybody is curious about Abbotsford's forecast: - 60 with a 100% chance of donuts.
donut hole.png
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 9:19 am I’m getting a bit excited seeing these 40cm+ Bullseyes over the Shawnigan lake area. Even on the 10:1 snow maps. Usually it’s the kuchera ratios that go all nutty. Nice to see these improvements in the home stretch
Looks good over there. Triple impact with the track of the low, outflow enhancement and potential deformation zone.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Monty wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 9:19 am I’m getting a bit excited seeing these 40cm+ Bullseyes over the Shawnigan lake area. Even on the 10:1 snow maps. Usually it’s the kuchera ratios that go all nutty. Nice to see these improvements in the home stretch
Shawnigan Lake > Similkameenz

:think: :think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 9:19 am We get the South Okanagan experience. Dust and dead grass. ;)
The kids just came back in from playing outside.

Image
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 9:02 am Wowzers. SW Washington is going to get buried. For them this is equivalent to 1996 in terms of epic snowfalls. I'm glad we are not going to see those kinds of snowfall totals. Especially when it all turns to rain next week. What a mess. A little light snow works for me.
It ain't over til it's over , even though most are predicting less snow,anything could still happen , I've seen it before albeit not that often.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

PortKells wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 9:22 am If anybody is curious about Abbotsford's forecast: - 60 with a 100% chance of donuts.

donut hole.png
I'd prefer if South Sardis get a big fat donut.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

I froze my patio for the kids to skate. This is what it looked like.

Image
Last edited by tyweather on Fri Feb 12, 2021 9:43 am, edited 2 times in total.
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

PortKells wrote: Fri Feb 12, 2021 9:21 am It feels like you've had a 30 cm event every year since I've been lurking here. Wish I could move ->
We do really well with arctic air in play. Cold onshore flow from the NW and the mainland owns us every time. Haven’t seen much of that lately.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Latest SREFPlumes shows 4" of snow for Vancouver by Tuesday.
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