February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[John]

Major winter storm for Victoria with that track.

Any snow for the valley in your opinion?

[Monty]

Is there a chance we all get hit?

The mainland is going to be fighting the dry outflow with this one. Still some snow though. Better than anything models have shown recently

24AD9FDC-57CA-4C51-ABAA-6771853BE8D8.png

[John]

The mainland is going to be fighting the dry outflow with this one.

24AD9FDC-57CA-4C51-ABAA-6771853BE8D8.png

Ok so why not victoria? It’s windy there to no?

[John]

https://mobile.twitter.com/50ShadesofVa ... 5728521217

[Catnip]

Apologies ahead of time for posting these. Hopefully Bono will be around soon to post his better maps.

As mentioned, nice increase in totals. Southern Island gets haaaaaaaaaaaaaammered.

Comparison.

12z

FF0334D1-9D42-4E34-9486-4CB7AB037ED4.png

6z

3BF83B0B-D558-4412-BB51-62873B228E64.png

[Monty]

Ok so why not victoria? It’s windy there to no?

Victoria is closer to the low center. And precip has to overcome a lot more dry air to get from the pacific to Chilliwack. Mainland will likely see some snow. More over western sections.

[Catnip]

12z nam total snowfall

B06339A7-85E9-4FCE-8382-05C13C4501D5.png

[Monty]

Apologies ahead of time for posting these. Hopefully Bono will be around soon to post his better maps.

As mentioned, nice increase in totals. Southern Island gets haaaaaaaaaaaaaammered.

Comparison.

12z

FF0334D1-9D42-4E34-9486-4CB7AB037ED4.png
6z
3BF83B0B-D558-4412-BB51-62873B228E64.png

Yea. Where’s Bono? These maps are crap. I hope the weatherbell ones show even higher totals.

I was actually just going to ask for these Nam maps so that I can set my expectations unreasonably high.

[John]

Victoria is closer to the low center. And precip has to overcome a lot more dry air to get from the pacific to Chilliwack. Mainland will likely see some snow. More over western sections.

Ok thanks so the more North the path the better for the mainland

[Catnip]

6z Euro also increased amounts a bit.

6z

4B825FB0-8D7C-48B5-A790-C7F73031E7BC.jpeg

12z

E055D544-95C2-462B-8189-E35DCB1F2657.jpeg

Disclaimer: These will have to do until Bono posts his.

[NoahG]

12z nam total snowfall



B06339A7-85E9-4FCE-8382-05C13C4501D5.png

Wow! How does the kuchera look?

[Storm]

Chancellor ICON for the win. This model deserve more credit. It was trashed for its resolution down at AF.

[Monty]

Wow! How does the kuchera look?

Haha I assumed it was the kuchera with totals that high

[Monty]

Chancellor ICON for the win. This model deserve more credit. It was trashed for its resolution down at AF.

I think it’s actually a pretty high resolution. I thought it was 13km

[Storm]

I think it’s actually a pretty high resolution. I thought it was 13km

This model did the best with the first bust, first model that picked pppnthe cold snap and now this.