February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Esquimalt39 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:52 pm Would you say there is a southerly trend going on?
Seems to be... plus the GFS splits the low and more outflow dries us out.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:54 pm Just the ourflow becoming more prominent in 72 hrs.
This gfs was an oof because the low went 200 miles south. I don’t see how the outflow is affecting things on this run
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

The 12z and 18z euro both looked great for Saturday. It's by far the most accurate model so I think we'll do just fine.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:57 pm The 12z and 18z euro both looked great for Saturday. It's by far the most accurate model so I think we'll do just fine.
The RGEM also took a crap tonight. The only improved run is the nam
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Esquimalt39 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:55 pm This gfs was an oof because the low went 200 miles south. I don’t see how the outflow is affecting things on this run
All the lows look pretty pedestrian as well. Lesser snow totals all around.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Esquimalt39 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:58 pm The RGEM also took a crap tonight. The only improved run is the nam
Meh. I'm sure the euro will steady the ship and the other models will play catchup.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Bad crash on the coq hwy today. Is it just me or has the coq been hammered with more snow than normal this year?
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 8:00 pm Bad crash on the coq hwy today. Is it just me or has the coq been hammered with more snow than normal this year?
It's been in spurts this year, but heavy falls at a time it appears.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 8:00 pm Meh. I'm sure the euro will steady the ship and the other models will play catchup.
WP will tell us the blizzard is still on. :thumbup: should be here in another hour in the meantime l will. :drunk: :pocorn: till he arrives.
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Wed Feb 10, 2021 8:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 8:00 pm All the lows look pretty pedestrian as well. Lesser snow totals all around.
Yep... Seattle only gets 5in thru Sunday on this run. :lol:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 7:57 pm The 12z and 18z euro both looked great for Saturday. It's by far the most accurate model so I think we'll do just fine.
Yup. The Euro is known for being one of the most reliable models. For the most part, I'd defiantly side with the Euro's solution.

That said, the Euro isn't perfect and there are of course times when one may side with another model. But the Euro is typically very reliable. :thumbup:

By the way, I think the Euro was the only model that got the track and strength of the low from our most recent windstorm correct. :D :bravo:
Last edited by AbbyJr on Wed Feb 10, 2021 8:05 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 8:03 pm Yep... Seattle only gets 5in thru Sunday on this run. :lol:
At this point that would be a bigger bust than a LM donut
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

AbbyJr wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 8:04 pm Yup. The Euro is known for being one of the most reliable models. For the most part, I'd defiantly side with the Euro's solution.
Let’s just hope the 00z Euro doesn’t follow suit and complete the rug pull.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

PortKells wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 8:05 pm At this point that would be a bigger bust than a LM donut
Would be pretty funny to see another meltdown on the AF like last Jan.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

PortKells wrote: Wed Feb 10, 2021 8:05 pm At this point that would be a bigger bust than a LM donut
Absolutely insanely crazy model runs this winter. :thumbdown: l hope we don't have this to go through every winter.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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