February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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PortKells
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Haha what is this argument about. The precip is getting brutalized on the straight. Tumble-dust is all we are getting today.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

The snow became very fine and melty earlier in the afternoon, but it's picked up again now.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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wetcoast91
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

PortKells wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 2:43 pm Haha what is this argument about. The precip is getting brutalized on the straight. Tumble-dust is all we are getting today.
Tumble dust mixed with some fine asbestos dust.
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VanCitySouth
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 2:46 pm Tumble dust mixed with some fine asbestos dust.
No no no asbestos is taking it too far. That's cancerous!
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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tyweather
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

18Z keeps us with multiple snow chances next week.

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Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Vancouver »

18z GFS looks kinda rough. Monday is looking like rain. Thoughts on things trending cooler and enjoying some snow shots next week instead? Anyone?
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

tyweather wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 2:49 pm 18Z keeps us with multiple snow chances next week.

Image
The track that system takes at day 9.5/10 looks similar to Dec 19, 2017 or Dec 21, 2020. More of a S/N direction rather than SW/NE, but still similar.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Vancouver »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 2:10 pm Near perfect track of for the Sunday and Monday low on the 18z GFS if you want lots of snow. Any shift north = +7C rain though.
Are we looking at the same 18Z GFS? Looking like a quick transition to rain. Are you interpreting things differently or are we looking at light asbestos?
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Vancouver wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 2:54 pm 18z GFS looks kinda rough. Monday is looking like rain. Thoughts on things trending cooler and enjoying some snow shots next week instead? Anyone?
Saturday has the potential to be a doozy for metro van. I wouldn't focus on Monday yet.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Perhaps the #teamNITO breakup wasn't amicable.

:think: :think: :think:

:shrug:

:hawk:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by BhamMe »

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wetcoast91
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Vancouver wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 2:56 pm Are we looking at the same 18Z GFS? Looking like a quick transition to rain. Are you interpreting things differently or are we looking at light asbestos?
...Rain?

Image

Upper level and surface flow never really turn southerly. So I could see the GFS keeping it mostly snow until precip ends.
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Catnip
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 3:00 pm ...Rain?



Upper level and surface flow never really turn southerly. So I could see the GFS keeping it mostly snow until precip ends.
WHO ARE YOU AND WHAT HAVE YOU DONE WITH NITO????

:o :o :o :o :shock: :shock: :shock:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Esquimalt39
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Esquimalt39 »

Let's make bets on environment canada's move for Friday for the south island:

1) Winter storm watch -> warning
2) Snowfall warning
3) Blizzard warning

I'll bet on #1 because I expect to have some wind associated with a low this deep, but it could very well be a snowfall warning.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

18z gfs temps at YVR/YXX.

Tomorrow AM: -7c/-13c
Tomorrow PM: -2c/-7c
Friday AM: -8c/-14c
Friday PM: -3c/-6c

Probably too aggressive with flooding that cold air into the valley, but we'll see.
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