February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[JaidynB]

Been snowing on Saltspring since around 9:30. Only just starting to see accumulation

[Esquimalt39]

Early Saturday last four NAM runs trend.

Looks like it's caving to just about everyone else with that low hanging up by Haida Gwaii

[Catnip]

Not local, but damn that’s cool!

https://twitter.com/pamelaapostolo1/sta ... 72352?s=21

[Catnip]

https://twitter.com/nwsseattle/status/1 ... 59170?s=21

[VanCitySouth]

Looks like it's caving to just about everyone else with that low hanging up by Haida Gwaii

From what others here have said (apologies, don't exactly remember who) the NAM's low placement often leaves much to be desired.

[Esquimalt39]

From what others here have said (apologies, don't exactly remember who) the NAM's low placement often leaves much to be desired.

This run was actually decent for my area (10 inches). But I want to see it further north so that my accumulations are safer and you can score!

[PortKells]

My temperature just barely snuck above the freezing mark and now back down to -.1. So close

[moonshadow0825]

Dew points are going down.

no kidding, we've dropped from -7 to -11 in the last hour, humidity at 48%, not a flake in sight. temp holding steady at -1C

[Catnip]

https://twitter.com/meteo_matt/status/1 ... 50689?s=21

[wetcoast91]

From what others here have said (apologies, don't exactly remember who) the NAM's low placement often leaves much to be desired.

It doesn't do well with large scale patterns. However some ECMWF and GFS runs have been hinting towards seeing a split of the energy with the main low going south. Interesting to see the NAM showing this as well.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Temp -2ËšC, Dp -11ËšC.

[Typeing3]

https://twitter.com/meteo_matt/status/1 ... 50689?s=21

Similar to Dec 21/08.

Looks like ~15-25cm for most of metro van on that map.

[Esquimalt39]

Similar to Dec 21/08.

Looks like ~15-25cm for most of metro van on that map.

The AF guys were saying they only got 6 inches with that one lol.

[Forrest Gump]

We are nowhere close to a lock on a solution. There is definitely potential for a region wide snowstorm on the weekend. But it could also bust.

I guess that's why Mark Madryga on the noon news was kinda still sitting on the fence, doesn't want to commit to any scenario just yet,but did say that several cm's of snow is probable.

[Typeing3]

The AF guys were saying they only got 6 inches with that one lol.

Yeah, this one looks to be improved for them at this point.

I think models were a bit overzealous with outflow limiting snow in metro van prior to the Dec 21/08 storm (similar to this one at the moment). YVR still ended up picking up 28cm with the event, including a one day total of 22cm.

Edit: Here's the WRF prediction from just a day before