February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 10:58 am From The Weather Network:
Yeah, I watched Whatcom/LM weather from afar for years before moving to this climate. The cold air can be stubborn and last longer than forecast. The same scenario can lead to ice storms, which can be prolonged and severe in the eastern Fraser Valley.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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LadnerWeather
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

NE winds have picked up in Ladner, -2.0c/-7 dp. Probably going to be difficult to get much moisture over here now as it continues to dry out. Looks good for EVI on the radar
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Sorry Hawk. The models had this one nailed down for several days.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Woke up to a nice surprise snow flurry. It lasted about 30 minutes, which was nice. With the wind it was falling sideways. It's stopped now but left a white coating on everything. So dry it's just blowing around and gathering up in places. If only all of winter was like this.

* Edit - Looks like MOST is evaporating.

Temp: -2.8
DP: -9
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

N trend with the precip shield late Friday on the last 4 runs of the GFS.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh66_trend.gif
Same early Saturday.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh72_trend.gif
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 9:01 am A wet and cold spring...how wonderful.
Image
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Granddaddyp2233 »

Light flurries most of the morning here in Richmond, very light hasn’t accumulated to anything. Also current radar.
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wetcoast91
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:18 am N trend with the precip shield late Friday on the last 4 runs of the GFS.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh66_trend.gif

Same early Saturday.
gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_fh72_trend.gif
Ideally want that low to weaken and draw closer to the coast. The Interior high seems to be too strong. LM and Fraser Valley does better if that high weakens a bit. Too far offshore and stronger low means more outflow and less precip.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Looks like the 12z RGEM shows 10-20cm across the lower mainland in a 24 hour period from 4pm Friday thru 4pm Saturday.
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

HRDPS shows a low of -12.2C and a wind chill value of -22.5C for Abbotsford Thursday morning. :shock: :o :shock:
Screen Shot 2021-02-10 at 11.25.37 AM.png
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:26 am Ideally want that low to weaken and draw closer to the coast. The Interior high seems to be too strong. LM and Fraser Valley does better if that high weakens a bit. Too far offshore and stronger low means more outflow and less precip.
How about closer to the coast and stronger, crossing thru Washington state. :thumbup:
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

https://twitter.com/mmadryga/status/135 ... 19072?s=21
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

About 1cm of snow here this morning.
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AbbyJr
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:27 am Looks like the 12z RGEM shows 10-20cm across the lower mainland in a 24 hour period from 4pm Friday thru 4pm Saturday.
Probably slightly higher totals then modelled due to a higher snow ratio. :thumbup:
Last edited by AbbyJr on Wed Feb 10, 2021 11:29 am, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Look at the intensification on the VIS imagry

This could overperform for Southern Van Island and Puget Sound.

https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/w ... s_small+12
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