March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

[SouthSardiswx]

Louie is living up to the song Money for Nothing Pucks for Free , and free popcorn in the press box.

Yes he is sounding like Knucks will buy him out at the end of the season, what an embarrassing disaster he's been almost feel sorry for him.

[Abby_wx]

Interesting, I would have thought the snow and cool air would keep a lid on things.

My theory is that the snow prevents the moisture from reaching the soil. The cold air was also accompanied by low humidity, so when the snow melted it went into the air (evaporation and sublimation) rather than soaking into the ground.

[Typeing3]

Vancouver Island is in the early stages of a drought. It's been unusually dry there.

It's been pretty dry on the Lower Mainland, as well. There hasn't been much significant rainfall since February 1st. March is also running well below average so far. Some areas could be looking at top 5 dry March if we don't get significant rain in the final week of the month.

A suppressed jet for over a month quickly replaced by a ridge. Been quite the dry stretch for sure.

[Typeing3]

+14 for YVR but up to +20 in the valley. Could see impressive temp variations with the dry airmass. 0 for lows and +20 for highs

Similar to mid March last year. I recall morning temps slightly below freezing followed by afternoon highs around 20C.

[Storm]

Let's bring back the 384 hour maps.

gfs_T850_nwus_53.png

[Storm]

MT8_Vancouver_Kanada_ens-2.png

[SouthSardiswx]

Having a few is mandatory for the cultus lake belly flop championships.

[SouthSardiswx]

Similar to mid March last year. I recall morning temps slightly below freezing followed by afternoon highs around 20C.

Yes I recall that T3, it was close to 0c in the morning and so mild by mid afternoon like 2 seasons in one day, we also had a couple weekends of chilly air with low snow levels.

[SouthSardiswx]

Let's bring back the 384 hour maps.
gfs_T850_nwus_53.png

Yeah Stormer this is what started the whole mess back in Dec/Jan whether or not to fork the winter, models were so back and forth but Nito held fast to a splitty/ridgey Feb. and a lousy ski season.

[Antares]

I thought you said adios amigos until next winter? Or did you have one too many?

[Monty]

Vancouver Island is in the early stages of a drought. It's been unusually dry there.

It's been pretty dry on the Lower Mainland, as well. There hasn't been much significant rainfall since February 1st. March is also running well below average so far. Some areas could be looking at top 5 dry March if we don't get significant rain in the final week of the month.

Not sure about Campbell river but Comox has only seen 50mm of precip in the last 50 days. They had less than 1/2 as much snow as places further south.

[VanCitySouth]

Is offshore flow supposed to develop for Monday/Tuesday? Or is it going to be one of those offshore at YXX and onshore at YVR types of ridges? Because those feel like the only ones we've seen in a decade. Obviously it isn't summer yet but this has been keeping a lid on YVR temperatures past few summers.

[Monty]

Is offshore flow supposed to develop for Monday/Tuesday? Or is it going to be one of those offshore at YXX and onshore at YVR types of ridges? Because those feel like the only ones we've seen in a decade. Obviously it isn't summer yet but this has been keeping a lid on YVR temperatures past few summers.

Offshore flow should develop later Sunday. However the GFS is indicating surface winds remain NW for coastal areas like YVR

[SouthSardiswx]

Offshore flow should develop later Sunday. However the GFS is indicating surface winds remain NW for coastal areas like YVR

So as usual at the end of the day that will skew the high temps. come Tuesday when they say the high @ Vancouver was 14c when just inland it gets up to 19c or so, it's so misleading they really need to scrap YVR as the official temp. for Vancouver city but my question is what location would you choose as the official reading for the city?

[SouthSardiswx]

Not sure about Campbell river but Comox has only seen 50mm of precip in the last 50 days. They had less than 1/2 as much snow as places further south.

Yeah lost in all this is how dry it has been, I did comment the last big rains we got was just before the cold pattern early Feb. I wonder if we start making up for it come April.