February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Typeing3]

Wow, what a let down this is turning into.

Go....ICON? I guess.

Could end up similar to the event in early Feb 2014. Prolonged dry backdoor blast with lots of E/NE wind.

[SouthSardiswx]

Wow, what a let down this is turning into.

Go....ICON? I guess.

Why Mr. Bones, we got the Arctic fart, Mr. Kells gets his frozen mud pit, Gumps gets to lace up his 1950's Johhny Bauers.

[PortKells]

Why Mr. Bones, we got the Arctic fart.

Well at least when the extreme solutions moderated they left us still in a very good position. Snow might come later on or never really get here. But there is still time for things to trend better. the 00z runs are soon...

[Typeing3]

TWN forecast low thursday night = -11c
EC forecast low thursday night = -4c
https://mobile.twitter.com/50ShadesofVa ... 8739314702

[Bonovox]

Could end up similar to the event in early Feb 2014. Prolonged dry backdoor blast with lots of E/NE wind.

I haven’t really looked at any models today outside of the ICON and what has been posted here.

May skip the 00z runs too and hope for some #surprises.

[SouthSardiswx]

Well at least when the extreme solutions moderated they left us still in a very good position. Snow might come later on or never really get here. But there is still time for things to trend better. the 00z runs are soon...

No worries WP will by to cheer us up with blizzard plums dancing in our heads.

[Forrest Gump]

After upgrading their lowest low to -10 yesterday, global has now reduced it to -7 , with hardly any mention of snow.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

ecmwf-ensemble-KBLI-indiv_snow-2807200.png

All righty now, everyone just needs to CALM DOWN a bit about this thing being nothing but a big bust-a-roni. Based on the most recent ECMWF ensembles for KBLI:

• 45 out of 50 members (90%) had an inch (2.5 cm) or more of snow in the coming week.
• 80% had 2" (5 cm) or more.
• 60% had 4" (10 cm) or more.
• 34% had 8" (20 cm) or more.

The mean snowfall was 6.3" and the median was 5.1". And I bet those figures are comparable across most of the Lower Mainland.

Bottom like is that odds strongly disfavor this being a complete zero.

[SouthSardiswx]

I may get skip the dishes but l get the runs and some #surprises.

[PortKells]

ecmwf-ensemble-KBLI-indiv_snow-2807200.png

All righty now, everyone just needs to CALM DOWN a bit about this thing being nothing but a big bust-a-roni. Based on the most recent ECMWF ensembles for KBLI:

• 45 out of 50 members (90%) had an inch (2.5 cm) or more of snow in the coming week.
• 80% had 2" (5 cm) or more.
• 60% had 4" (10 cm) or more.
• 34% had 8" (20 cm) or more.

The mean snowfall was 6.3" and the median was 5.1". And I bet those figures are comparable across most of the Lower Mainland.

Bottom like is that odds strongly disfavor this being a complete zero.

Yeah its almost just time to nowcast. Going to try as hard as possible to just look outside and look at my thermometer.

[Hound]

batfish.png

Où est l'oie de la police française?
フランスの警察のガチョウはどこにいますか？
Где гусь французской полиции?
Var är den franska polisen Goose?
Wo ist die französische Polizeigans?

[Forrest Gump]

Why Mr. Bones, we got the Arctic fart, Mr. Kells gets his frozen mud pit, Gumps gets to lace up his 1950's Johhny Bauers.

I'd like to see John's 1915 Bauers when he played for the Vancouver Bitcoins , I mean millionaires.

[AbbyJr]

The 00Z NAM shows Abbotsford getting down to -14.7C with a wind chill of -25.4C Thursday morning.

[Typeing3]

The 00Z NAM shows Abbotsford getting down to -14.7C with a wind chill of -25.4C Thursday morning.

12km resolution.

[Hound]

The 00Z NAM shows Abbotsford getting down to -14.7C with a wind chill of -25.4C Thursday morning.

多分それはハリソン湖を凍らせるでしょう！