February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Abby_wx
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Abby_wx »

PortKells wrote: ↑Mon Feb 08, 2021 11:56 am Oh I'm just talking about snow potential. I'm not particularly concerned with extreme cold. I've lived in the caribou and okanagan and felt temperatures there that the LM has no chance of achieving.
A 2019 scenario again would suck. Cold and dry is useless to me outside of skating on our pond.
I have to disagree; I would personally enjoy experiencing some extreme cold for our climate. We have to keep in mind that everything is relative to the climo for our area, including snowfall. We don't compare our snowfall to Whistler's, so we shouldn't compare our "extreme" cold to the Cariboo or other places that get colder. You might as well compare us to Nunavut.

The entire point of this hobby, at least in my opinion, is to be interested in anomalous weather... cold, snowfall, wind, rain, heat. It's all relative to our local climo.
:dragon:

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Low min: -16.6C (Jan 12th)
Low max: -9.9C (Jan 12th)
Snowfall: 8.0 cm
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

Very light/small flakes falling here now.
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Getting a few flurries here. Temp 3ËšC, DP -3ËšC.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Feb 08, 2021 1:09 pm Be on the lookout for some #surprises this afternoon.

:thumbup: :thumbup:
Weak outflow (modified arctic air pushing west). Convection pushing east. Hmm. Maybe!
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Abby_wx wrote: ↑Mon Feb 08, 2021 1:10 pm I have to disagree; I would personally enjoy experiencing some extreme cold for our climate. We have to keep in mind that everything is relative to the climo for our area, including snowfall. We don't compare our snowfall to Whistler's, so we shouldn't compare our "extreme" cold to the Cariboo or other places that get colder. You might as well compare us to Nunavut.

The entire point of this hobby, at least in my opinion, is to be interested in anomalous weather... cold, snowfall, wind, rain, heat. It's all relative to our local climo.
Well said, Abby_wx.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

3K nam snowfall
NAM Snowfall 60.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Enough model runs have shown a trace to 5cm falling here with the arctic front Wednesday that this is my forecast right now.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

Just got back to Ladner. Pretty decent graupel/snow shower by Westminster/hwy 99. Got lighter as i got thru the tunnel but sun breaks and a few dark clouds around South Delta right now. Car was reading 4c/5c still
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Just like the last non event, my forecast is for 0 to 25cm across the whole south coast. Subject to change.


;)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

The cell seems like it's near my house, but I'm at work in North Van where there's a nothing burger right now. Will update you guys if anything migrates up here.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Lisa0527 »

We’ve had about 15-20 minutes of graupel/snow here on the west side . Just winding up.
* spoke too soon. Really picking up and accumulating in last few minutes.


D6AA9AFB-8C80-467B-A995-DD456D41067F.jpeg
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Last edited by Lisa0527 on Mon Feb 08, 2021 1:42 pm, edited 4 times in total.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by moonshadow0825 »

LadnerWeather wrote: ↑Mon Feb 08, 2021 1:24 pm Just got back to Ladner. Pretty decent graupel/snow shower by Westminster/hwy 99. Got lighter as i got thru the tunnel but sun breaks and a few dark clouds around South Delta right now. Car was reading 4c/5c still
yeah, so it's 5C about -.4 dew point and snowing at my house in Ladner :crazy:
:wsnow: :13snow:

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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

FLURRIES. AT. EDGEMONT. VILLAGE.
I am so snow starved that this is exciting. If that doesn't tell you something about our winter...
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Feb 08, 2021 1:20 pm 3K nam snowfall

NAM Snowfall 60.png
🙏
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Walth »

Light snow - sticking.

...pretty light - might sublimate :?
Last edited by Walth on Mon Feb 08, 2021 1:41 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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