February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 10:18 pm Outflow, blowing dust warning! :thumbup:


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This could end up being an arctic fart if the Euro is correct.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 10:04 pm Not from what I’ve been seeing in what’s been posted on the AF.
And now that more has been posted there, well, not so much.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 10:16 pmNot good.
January 2011 bust :bang: :bang: :bang:

Please don't do this to us models.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 10:21 pm January 2011 bust :bang: :bang: :bang:

Please not.
Jet supression not the issue here. The lack of colder air appears to be an issue with the PV sliding due east.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 10:10 pm HOORAY! Bono, apparently we need you for good Euro runs.
Apparently not. :(
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

I had a feeling because that was still a ways out and I knew a lot could change in 6 days
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Wow. :eh:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Might be another case of peaking too soon. Or it could be the outlier we all look back at and laugh about because we panicked too early.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

We still have snow moving onshore Friday night/Saturday morning.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Saturday morning.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 10:24 pmWow. :eh:
If the EPS is still good then we should be fine. There are bound to be some bad operational model runs. But this is concerning.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Still snowing mid Saturday morning. :shock:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 10:29 pm If the EPS is still good then we should be fine. There are bound to be some bad operational model runs. But this is concerning.
Yup. The EPS will be telling.
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 10:24 pmWow. :eh:
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Re: February 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sun Feb 07, 2021 10:23 pm Jet supression not the issue here. The lack of colder air appears to be an issue with the PV sliding due east.
Always a possibility. This is a very precarious setup. Basically entirely -NAO driven since blocking in the Pacific is pretty anemic.
Last edited by Typeing3 on Sun Feb 07, 2021 10:31 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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