January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

00Z GFS is a complete mess. Obviously has no clue whats going to happen in the long range. Just outputting a variety of possible solutions each run. What we need is the short term to improve. At this point, its probably a 50/50 chance.
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Weather101 wrote: Mon Feb 01, 2021 8:57 pm I take it down after new years
Chinese New year? :lol:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
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Canada Goose
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

AbbyJr wrote: Mon Feb 01, 2021 7:29 pm For what its worth, 3 out of the past 5 GFS runs have had a significant arctic blast around the same timeframe. That works out to 60% of recent runs showing arctic air. Not a super high percentage but shows that winter is still not off the table. :thumbup:
Let me guess: somewhere around day 10 or beyond, right?

Two weeks ago, the GooFuS was predicting a full-fledged arctic blast by the 4th of this month.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Glacier
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Is Whistler Roundhouse ever not the snowiest place in Canada in the winter?
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Canada Goose »

Glacier wrote: Thu Feb 04, 2021 6:58 pm Is Whistler Roundhouse ever not the snowiest place in Canada in the winter?
Good question! I don't know. :oops:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Glacier wrote: Thu Feb 04, 2021 6:58 pm Is Whistler Roundhouse ever not the snowiest place in Canada in the winter?
Looks like another illegally placed thermometer. :sherlock: :cops:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
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https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Canada Goose wrote: Thu Feb 04, 2021 9:18 pm Good question! I don't know. :oops:
I lost my databases when my old computer harddrive died, so can't look it up at the moment, but I believe that Pleasant Camp (at a mere 200 and something meters above sea level) has been the snowiest place in Canada some winters.
Sardisbcwx wrote: Thu Feb 04, 2021 9:59 pm Looks like another illegally placed thermometer. :sherlock: :cops:
Looks good to me. They rise up the box as the snow comes down so it's always the right height above the snow. Maybe the green bars should be white?
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