January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12676 times
Been thanked: 6463 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 9:46 am I'm still not buying this model collapse.

Makes no sense we don't score something good in a phase 7 MJO.

Apart from minor changes to the timing, the EPS remains consistent.

At this point I'd still expect other models to cave to it.

While I could be wrong, I still trust the EPS.
Ok Donald Trump. You lost the election already..CMON!!!
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12676 times
Been thanked: 6463 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Can someone please repost my "its over" GIF from days ago.
Thanks.
I'm on limited wifi.
TELL EM NITOOOOOOO!!
:failrock:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6968
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320/3024
Has thanked: 12676 times
Been thanked: 6463 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

:lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
And here it is..December 2024 all snow geeks have been waiting for :silent: ..with the LR weather "charts" calling for a cold and snowy month. Where's the troffing? :silent: :silent:
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6603
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 557 times
Been thanked: 11437 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:01 pm 18Z GFS scores backdoor. :clap:
:shock:
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19519
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53174 times
Been thanked: 16679 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

PortKells wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:37 pm:shock:
l thought the 18Z was the drunckle model. :drunk:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
tyweather
Model Rider
Model Rider
Posts: 1592
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:39 pm
Location: Newton, Surrey, EL. 70m
Has thanked: 68 times
Been thanked: 3589 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 2:44 pm Outlier. It's over. I accept defeat. Winter cancel. The bears are about to wake up from hibernation. Time for a bike ride. :D :clap:
It's always time for a bike ride
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
User avatar
LadnerWeather
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 408
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:13 pm
Location: Tsawwassen
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 987 times
Been thanked: 1004 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by LadnerWeather »

18z ensembles ain’t too shabby either :think:
Currently located in Tsawwassen, beside Tsawwassen Mills
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19519
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53174 times
Been thanked: 16679 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Well the models do seem fitting since ground hog day is around the corner. Repeat over and over.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4464
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 930 times
Been thanked: 9212 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Hawk wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 3:30 pm Can someone please repost my "its over" GIF from days ago.
Thanks.
I'm on limited wifi.
TELL EM NITOOOOOOO!!
:failrock:
No. But in preparation for tonight’s 0z I give you this

Image
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Typeing3
Weather Psycho
Weather Psycho
Posts: 12656
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:02 pm
Location: Coquitlam
Elevation: 25M./80Ft.
Has thanked: 22033 times
Been thanked: 24405 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

45-60cm of snow forecast to fall across new york city tomorrow. :o
https://twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY/status ... 0994129920
:typing: :type3:
East Coquitlam
Elevation 25M (80Ft)
#MrJanuary :geek: 8-)
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19519
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53174 times
Been thanked: 16679 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 5:34 pm 45-60cm of snow forecast to fall across new york city tomorrow. :o
https://twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY/status ... 0994129920
Seems so easy for them sometimes, always a struggle here.
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
AbbyJr
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 5599
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:14 pm
Location: Abbotsford
Elevation: 50m(164ft)
Has thanked: 10318 times
Been thanked: 10086 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

18Z GFS was dry but insane outflow winds modelled. :shock: :o :shock:

Most likely won't verify but its nice to see the colder solutions return. :thumbup:
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)

2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
Coquitlam79
Weather Nut
Weather Nut
Posts: 462
Joined: Sun May 05, 2019 6:48 pm
Location: Pipeline road near town centre park, Coquitlam
Has thanked: 70 times
Been thanked: 1031 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Coquitlam79 »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:21 pm 18Z GFS was dry but insane outflow winds modelled. :shock: :o :shock:

Most likely won't verify but its nice to see the colder solutions return. :thumbup:
Last few runs along with the euro show some moisture sneaking south out of the GOA at times in clipper type systems. Although if that ridge sets up a few hundred miles to the East it would be like Feb 2015. Dry, foggy and boring. Athough you're right once the real cold air gets here in that 18z run it's dry as a bone with the cut off low off of California . That won't touch us so we'd be high and dry but cold and clear. I'm good with that!
User avatar
SouthSardiswx
Donator
Donator
Posts: 19519
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:37 pm
Location: Chilliwack (South Sardis)
Has thanked: 53174 times
Been thanked: 16679 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Coquitlam79 wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 6:30 pm Last few runs along with the euro show some moisture sneaking south out of the GOA at times in clipper type systems. Although if that ridge sets up a few hundred miles to the East it would be like Feb 2015. Dry, foggy and boring. Athough you're right once the real cold air gets here in that 18z run it's dry as a bone with the cut off low off of California . That won't touch us so we'd be high and dry but cold and clear. I'm good with that!
Thanks for your once in a blue moon read C79 man. Spectacular and indepth always enjoy them:thumbup:
It's the 7th annual 2 old retired geezer's inaccurate snowfall contest
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
User avatar
Hound
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 4567
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:11 pm
Location: Fraser Heights
Has thanked: 28701 times
Been thanked: 9767 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Jan 31, 2021 5:34 pm 45-60cm of snow forecast to fall across new york city tomorrow. :o
https://twitter.com/NWSNewYorkNY/status ... 0994129920
Image
North Surrey/Fraser Heights
Elevation - 85 M./278 Ft.
:eatyum:
Post Reply