January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[SouthSardiswx]

Last night you said. “ The good news is we get out of inversion season by mid Feb. So a ridge slightly offshore could give us wall to wall sunshine!”.

Is inversion season ending or not?

El Nito on trial.

[SouthSardiswx]

The GFS: more waffles than in all of Belgium.

Mmmmm...whip cream and strawberries on mine please.

[SouthSardiswx]

It's over Jr.

[SouthSardiswx]

I need more votes please go to the unscientific poll which is probably accurate and place a vote for Sardineman, the cheques in the mail.

[SouthSardiswx]

06Z Goofoff, is absolutely garbage hang up your snow shovels.

[SouthSardiswx]

El Nito on trial.

We need juror's, Sherrif Gooser can preside over the proceedings.

[Typeing3]

Ice box from the prairies into the great lakes and east coast later this week into next.

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[wetcoast91]

Last night you said. “ The good news is we get out of inversion season by mid Feb. So a ridge slightly offshore could give us wall to wall sunshine!”.

Is inversion season ending or not?

It is...by mid Feb. Models are pushing that ridge square over us though. Foggy and cold morning with highs near +12C with sunshine in the afternoon? Sign me up!

[Monty]

It is...by mid Feb. Models are pushing that ridge square over us though. Foggy and cold morning with highs near +12C with sunshine in the afternoon? Sign me up!

So a warm February unless it’s a cold one. Got it.

[PortKells]

12z runs, the twist the knife version. Here we go

[wetcoast91]

So a warm February unless it’s a cold one. Got it.

Honestly...no one forecasted a warm west and cold east considering all long range modeling had a west based trough with persistent positive heights off the GOA.

This pattern development would mirror what we saw in 1999-2000...Which for all intents and purposes was a snowless -ENSO in the lowlands.

[PortKells]

Honestly...no one forecasted a warm west and cold east considering all long range modeling had a west based trough with persistent positive heights off the GOA.

This pattern development would mirror what we saw in 1999-2000...Which for all intents and purposes was a snowless -ENSO in the lowlands.

You nailed this whole winter. Except for when you called for a cold Feb. THEN you got finally something wrong.

[Monty]

Even the cold in the east is looking pretty transitory. Hopefully everyone ends up warm.

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Honestly...no one forecasted a warm west and cold east considering all long range modeling had a west based trough with persistent positive heights off the GOA.

This pattern development would mirror what we saw in 1999-2000...Which for all intents and purposes was a snowless -ENSO in the lowlands.

It will be what it is. I gave up on model riding some years ago. Simply leads to disappointment more often than not, so why do it?

If February ends up being a dud, I will look forward to camping again.

[PortKells]

It will be what it is. I gave up on model riding some years ago. Simply leads to disappointment more often than not, so why do it?

If February ends up being a dud, I will look forward to camping again.

I'm choosing to learn the hard way. Lets see if next winter I remember that lesson Part of the problem this winter is that there is literally nothing else to do other than watch re-runs of your favourite sitcom, or in my case playing game after game of online chess (No I haven't watched Queen's Gambit).
Its so predictable that this would happen in the one year where a good winter would've done so much good for so many reasons.