January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Catnip]

Snow in the air perhaps. Think miniature slush monsters.

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[wetcoast91]

Snow in the air perhaps. Think miniature slush monsters.

THINK BARE WET PAVEMENT WITH SOME EVIDENCE OF SLUSH ON THE SHADED PARTS OF THE GRASS AND LAWN TO SHOW ITS BARELY SNOWED IN THE VERY EARLY MORNING HOURS FOLLOWED BY A MILD AFTERNOON. CMON!!!!

[Monty]

Wind is really ramping up in Greater Victoria and should reach borderline warning criteria. No warnings yet though.

2.3C here, with a rare E wind even filtering into the shawnigan Lake area now.

I did receive a small accumulation of wet snow overnight.

[Monty]

THINK BARE WET PAVEMENT WITH SOME EVIDENCE OF SLUSH ON THE SHADED PARTS OF THE GRASS AND LAWN TO SHOW ITS BARELY SNOWED IN THE VERY EARLY MORNING HOURS FOLLOWED BY A MILD AFTERNOON. CMON!!!!

And then a repeat the following night.

[Weather101]

I'm so excited for mix rain and snow falling for 3 hours and wet pavement

[Catnip]

I'm so excited for mix rain and snow falling for 3 hours and wet pavement

Are you going to pull an all nighter so you don't miss out?

[Catnip]

THINK BARE WET PAVEMENT WITH SOME EVIDENCE OF SLUSH ON THE SHADED PARTS OF THE GRASS AND LAWN TO SHOW ITS BARELY SNOWED IN THE VERY EARLY MORNING HOURS FOLLOWED BY A MILD AFTERNOON. CMON!!!!

Okie Dokie.

[Monty]

How bout a euro snow map for tonight and tomorrow just for fun.

[Catnip]

How bout a euro snow map for tonight and tomorrow just for fun.

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[Monty]

WHYCANTITSNOWHEREANYMORE.png

Not exactly snow blower deep.

[Catnip]

Not exactly snow blower deep.

If you are lucky you might eek out a trace.

If you gather all of it, you may even have enough for a snowball.

C'MON!!!

[AbbyJr]

The Feb outlook may bust. GFS has slowly trended towards a West Coast Ridge. Should have taken that ECMWF run more seriously.

Very possible but the good news is that we are still 2 weeks out. Still plenty of time for the models to shift colder for the PNW.

I should add that the GFS did not slowly trend towards a West Coast Ridge. The past two runs were actually a complete flip from the runs prior to that, which showed arctic air. Looks to me like a sudden collapse, not a slow trend.

I still think this will work out in our favour despite the sudden GFS collapse. But I may have to refine my forecast if trends keep going in this direction.

Think arctic air and snow C'MON!!!

[Typeing3]

What would you rank as the top 5 winters in the past 30 or 40 years?

For the past 30 years, in no order I'd say '90-91, '92-93, '96-97, '08-09 and '16-17.

Edit: If we go back 40 years, I'd also possibly include '84-85, '85-86 or '88-89.

[Wintergirl]

Sun is peaking through with some blue sky but still some flurries happeneing and now a bit of outflow winds. Snow we got last night is still on trees slowly melting now but not as quickly as it did the other day. Why is is that Squamish stays colder than Vancouver? Legit question I honestly dont know why?

[Catnip]

Sun is peaking through with some blue sky but still some flurries happeneing and now a bit of outflow winds. Snow we got last night is still on trees slowly melting now but not as quickly as it did the other day. Why is is that Squamish stays colder than Vancouver? Legit question I honestly dont know why?

My guess would be the outflow and inland/sheltered, more protected location? I could be wrong though.