January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[Bonovox]

Always important to have a good or after a SnowFAIL.

Can’t let it get to you.

Yup.

However, even though it was marginal at best, but because of how abysmal this winter has been, it stung.

[Catnip]

Yup.

However, even though it was marginal at best, but because of how abysmal this winter has been, it stung.

Yup.

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[Catnip]

Even Sardine’s posts are mostly serious today.

Maybe he’s taking the latest snowFAIL hard.

[PortKells]

Yup.

However, even though it was marginal at best, but because of how abysmal this winter has been, it stung.

I was ticked off but the writing was on the wall when all the mesoscale models abandoned ship on Saturday night.

[Bonovox]

Even Sardine’s posts are mostly serious today.

Maybe he’s taking the latest snowFAIL hard.

Needs a couple of egg grogs.

[Catnip]

Needs a couple of egg grogs.

Yup.

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[Monty]

Hi everyone.

I must apologize for my epic failure in forecasting the last event. I know I had many of you excited for what should have been a great widespread snowfall. So many things went wrong but I think you all know. The temp was just 2c higher than it should have been. The low was a bit too far west and south. Precipitation rates were light. Etc. Everything was so close yet so far away, again.

I'm disappointed in how poorly the models perform in general for the lower mainland. This makes things even more difficult. Poor radar coverage and numerous other things contribute to the overall failure of almost all of the forecasts. The government needs to fund EC better because this is a serious situation. There was better information available prior to the 1990's and that is sad considering the information age we now live in.

Also, thank you to all my supporters, or the people with the kind words to say about me. I am not perfect. Someone had sent a rude message via the private message system on this forum. I won't say who it was. I deleted it.

As of now I will not make any detailed forecasts unless it's an absolute guarantee it will happen. The lower mainland is just too difficult to forecast and since I don't live there I can't keep track of everything that is happening in real time. I also don't have enough time. It was different when I lived there.

As for now, this week looks rather 50/50 of anything good happening. The atmosphere is unstable so short bursts of flurries or hail may pass through at times. Mid week looks a bit better in terms of light flurries being a little more widespread. As we approach the weekend, THAT becomes the big question. We have a strong system moving in with cold air around which COULD lead to a major widespread snowfall event. Watch for that. That is the next exciting thing weather-wise to look out for. I think you guys have many more chances through Feb, it's looking pretty chilly.

I'll drop by later in the week if things look promising.

Meh. I’ve busted many a forecast. I think I’ve busted my January forecast for 30 years in a row. One of these times we will get a cold one and I’ll look like a genius. One thing about forecasting snow out here is that it’s never a sure thing. You gotta have a little leeway in your forecast.

[Bonovox]

Yup.

He’s been busy too.

[Hound]

Even Sardine’s posts are mostly serious today.

Maybe he’s taking the latest snowFAIL hard.

Yes, he's a special kind of snowFAIL!

[Catnip]

He’s been busy too.

[Bonovox]

Meh. I’ve busted many a forecast. I think I’ve busted my January forecast for 30 years in a row. One of these times we will get a cold one and I’ll look like a genius. One thing about forecasting snow out here is that it’s never a sure thing. You gotta have a little leeway in your forecast.

I’ll always forecast 0-15cm from now on.

[Roberts Creeker]

I thought we did but I don't see one. I'll add some. Were there any others? I thought someone asked for another type recently.

More snowflakes?...for good luck

[tyweather]

Yup!

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Oh this one made me laugh

[SouthSardiswx]

Even Sardine’s posts are mostly serious today.

Maybe he’s taking the latest snowFAIL hard.

Not really, l had a feeling Saturday night just watching the radar and the moisture not advancing eastward much. Last night early this morning 2cm surprised me abit. I was hoping for my buddy Gumpaholics to make some ground on me.

[SouthSardiswx]

Needs a couple of egg grogs.