January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[John]

Hi weatherpro

[Hawk]

No PG High = No arctic air here...and often times only marginal snows.
CMONNNN!

[John]

WP we love you! John too.

Yessss

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

-18C in mid February? Not happening.

gfs-operational-CYXX-daily_tmin_tmax-1597600.png

And it’s been doing so about the same amount of days into the future for most of a week at least. It keeps receding as we approach, much like the visual type of mirage does.

[John]

Weatherpro what now where do we go from here

[Typeing3]

The arctic air struggles to get West of the Rockies..def more so in recent years. Yes blocking is good, but gimme a Yukon/PG High..that will bring the much needed cold temps here. The snows will come. There's something that gives me "snow" confidence about going into a snow event with a previous nights low of -12c or so

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ak_54.png

[Hawk]

Wow super clear from here to the east. If it clears out tonight, we may be lucky and catch the odd flurry overnight. At least the ground may be frozen by then. This is all we have now to hope for lol

[Pumpkin Seed]

I know it's hard to believe but I actually think February has potential with the MJO moving into phase 7 and the second burst of stratospheric warming peaking.

That, and the GFS operational has been hinting at this and the ensembles are caving to it.

I really wish you guys are correct. Hope the good stuff, if any, will happen in the first half of the month.

[Hawk]

gfs_mslp_pcpn_frzn_ak_54.png

Ya those are them
Only problem is too far north, but mostly, too far into the future

[Typeing3]

Hawk, your friend makes an appearance by day 16.
#PGHIGH

[Rubus_Leucodermis]

Would probably still find a way to screw us in some way. 1c heavy rain and then rapidly dries out as temps drop to -5c.

I will stop being a Negative Nellie for a moment and point out that last January, Goofus was predicting an insanely cold arctic blast weeks out. While the insanely cold part did not verify, the arctic blast part did. Eventually the Euro and others came around. So who knows. But first, it has to cut the crap of receding into the future on a day-by-day basis before I take it even semi-seriously.

[Hawk]

Massive dry donut hole

https://a.atmos.washington.edu/~ovens/w ... km_color+1

[SouthSardiswx]

WP left, too many cooks in the kitchen.

[Catnip]

Like I said this morning. Today had a #surprises kind of look to it.

https://twitter.com/brad604/status/1353 ... 01696?s=21

https://twitter.com/brad604/status/1353 ... 36128?s=21

[Pumpkin Seed]

WP we love you! John too.

Feel good to see WP is still around. Look forward to reading your posts again soon.