January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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OilerNut
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by OilerNut »

Not gonna snow is it.

EC issued a snowfall warning, so that is usually the killer.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Ok those mesoscale updates put a damper on my enthusiasm but this is still fun. The anticipation of a potential snow event on the west coast is never not fun on these boards.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:33 pm Sandspit at +4C with a strong onshore wind. Tofino still +4C and seeing a dropping temp.

Good reflection of the colder MT polar airmass. The biggest achilles heel in these scenarios is the warm onshore component. Probably won't see an drastic warmup tomorrow or Monday.
THINK COLD N SNOW!

C’MON!

:bang: :curse:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:31 pm Thanks! It'll be 12 pots of tea and a long night of anticipation for me.
In that case you'll probably pee more than it snows.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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VanCitySouth
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Sardisbcwx wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:36 pm In that case you'll probably pee more than it snows.
Even 0.5 cm of accumulating snow is more liquid volume than my bladder can produce surely
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Bonovox wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:28 pm I think it's better to just let it go, Abby. There is snow to track.
How about some karaoke to cheer everybody up. Here's a classic from the 70's

Snow will keep us Together by

Catnip and Tennille(Bono)


Snow
Snow will keep us together
Think of snow, whenever
Some sweet snow storm comes along, singing her song
Don't mess around, you've just got to be strong, just snow
'Cause we really love you, snow
We'll be thinking of you
Look to the skies and let snow keep us together
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Look at that popcorn like development due west. Some atmospheric instability? :think:

Image

Some potential convective activity has been modeled behind the initial front.

Image
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Forrest Gump wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:38 pm How about some karaoke to cheer everybody up. Here's a classic from the 70's

Snow will keep us Together by

Catnip and Tennille(Bono)


Snow
Snow will keep us together
Think of snow, whenever
Some sweet snow storm comes along, singing her song
Don't mess around, you've just got to be strong, just snow
'Cause we really love you, snow
We'll be thinking of you
Look to the skies and let snow keep us together
Fantastic Gumpster. :clap: :thumbup:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:41 pm Look at that popcorn like development due west. Some atmospheric instability? :think:

Image

Some potential convective activity has been modeled behind the initial front.

Image
Omg..thundersnow is coming :shock: :shock:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Leighbugs »

It smells like snow outside. Sometimes people wonder what the heck I'm talking about when I say that. Maybe it's because I'm so in tune with the weather but I can smell seasons, if that makes sense. I know most people know what summer rain smells like, etc, but I can smell the most subtle changes in the air. Like, even a cloudy day has a smell but it differs depending on the time of year. Anyway, maybe it's weird? When I say I can smell February, or drizzle or even sunshine in November, people look at me like I'm nuts, including my own family. :lol: But it definitely smells like snow outside.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Leighbugs wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:48 pm It smells like snow outside. Sometimes people wonder what the heck I'm talking about when I say that. Maybe it's because I'm so in tune with the weather but I can smell seasons, if that makes sense. I know most people know what summer rain smells like, etc, but I can smell the most subtle changes in the air. Like, even a cloudy day has a smell but it differs depending on the time of year. Anyway, maybe it's weird? When I say I can smell February, or drizzle or even sunshine in November, people look at me like I'm nuts, including my own family. :lol: But it definitely smells like snow outside.
l agree. :thumbup:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Hawk wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:47 pm Omg..thundersnow is coming :shock: :shock:
Convective snow/rain/haul/graupel Monday.

This explains why snow maps are all over the place. Models are just useless in these setups.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Leighbugs wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:48 pm It smells like snow outside. Sometimes people wonder what the heck I'm talking about when I say that. Maybe it's because I'm so in tune with the weather but I can smell seasons, if that makes sense. I know most people know what summer rain smells like, etc, but I can smell the most subtle changes in the air. Like, even a cloudy day has a smell but it differs depending on the time of year. Anyway, maybe it's weird? When I say I can smell February, or drizzle or even sunshine in November, people look at me like I'm nuts, including my own family. :lol: But it definitely smells like snow outside.
Welcome home!
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Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Pomoman »

I think before most snow events the temp ALWAYS warms up and freaks people (who want it) out. Inevitably once precip arrives it will cool things down again and snow will be had by all. Though I don’t feel those south of the Fraser will be writing home about this. And certainly not Tswwassen.
Convectivity is a great sign of possible surprises. All good.
Burnaby Mountain @ 365 m..

Stats? Fresh out of those. But I win anyway. I got all the inches.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Jan 23, 2021 8:51 pm Convective snow/rain/haul/graupel Monday.

This explains why snow maps are all over the place. Models are just useless in these setups.
I tried to tell them Nito!

#nowcast

:think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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