January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Typeing3
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z 3km NAM = cold rain for most of the lower mainland tomorrow.
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 6:08 pm 12z WRF snowfall thru Monday afternoon. 1.33km resolution.
3km NAM trending wet vs white. :thumbdown: Last two runs have significantly lowered snow amounts for Sunday night and Monday.

Looks like the RGEM and HRDPS is trending in a similar direction as well. Euro still looks decently snowy though.

This could easily bust but I have a feeling we will score some significant snow before February. :thumbup:
Last edited by AbbyJr on Sat Jan 23, 2021 6:17 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 6:14 pm 00z 3km NAM = cold rain for most of the lower mainland tomorrow.
Wow.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

18z HRDPS shows no snow for the mainland thru 8pm tomorrow.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

PortKells wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 6:15 pmWow.
Its going to be a nowcast for those who aren't sleeping. Models keep going back and forth. Battle between available moisture and temperature.

I have a feeling the snowy solutions will win though assuming we have enough available moisture. This is an overnight event with no solar radiation and enough cold air with it given the NW flow. I hope I'm right. :thumbup:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Our rug might’ve just been pulled jr. The gfs and euro have been saying this for a while. I’m not at all trying to be negative but that is definitely concerning. At least Hollander and petterson tied the game.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weatherhead »

Monty wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 4:08 pm It clouded over here around 1pm. Right at peak heating :|
Pretty well same as in langford. I took my daughter to hockey at 2 little cloud coverage and left within the hr to full clowd coverage. Before I had left it was 5 degrees. Doubt it dropped any more. 😬
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

-5 across the board on the local ski hills ought to be a good indicator right?
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z HRRR = 0-2cm of slush for the mainland tomorrow.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

PortKells wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 6:00 pm Ah! Ok I get it now. The real question is what is Petey smoking? My man. So fricking bad right now.
Sophomore jinx afew years late. Yah the loss of Markstrom hurts the most that and bad D too.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weatherhead »

If everything should bust you guys can blame me. I bought salt for a just in case (husband is going for a hip replacement before 40 years old) just couldn't contribute to making it worse.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

I’m definitely now expecting a cm of slush. This model yo-yo-Ing is giving me a headache.


And the canucks :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol: :lol:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Weatherhead wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 6:27 pm If everything should bust you guys can blame me. I bought salt for a just in case (husband is going for a hip replacement before 40 years old) just couldn't contribute to making it worse.
You bought salt! Yep. Definitely this ones fault. :thumbdown:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

How was the 18z euro?
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Monty wrote: ↑Sat Jan 23, 2021 6:30 pm How was the 18z euro?
Terrible.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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