January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Fri Jan 22, 2021 7:37 pm Those totals are in line with EC's forecast.
NAM still looks good for the Valley. I think this could end up being an Island and Valley special Sunday night though I think higher elevations of Metro Vancouver will do good as well. Looks like EC also says Island and Valley special with 5-15cm for the Island, 2-5cm for the Lower Mainland and 10cm for the Valley. :thumbup:
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wetcoast91
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: Fri Jan 22, 2021 7:56 pm Like EC is suggesting I Think the Valley may do best Sunday night and Monday morning with a weak onshore flow and a cold unstable airmass
Really depends on how unstable the airmass is and whether the offshore gradients flatten. See RH near 35-40% In E Fraser Valley tomorrow.

Then again...anything goes. GFS is a smudge bit better for moistute despite warmer onshore flow.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Jan 22, 2021 7:49 pm 2-5cm for higher hills above 150m of Metro Van. Slush below with rain near SL.

10cm E Vancouver Island, especially above 100m.

Fraser Valley....cold pool and some downsloping could really limit moisture out there. Don't want to say zero...but it could be zero.
Zilch for South Sardis? I'll take it. Now if only the underdog Wrinkle Rockers can get a couple of converted touchdowns and get back in the ball game.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Jan 22, 2021 7:49 pm 2-5cm for higher hills above 150m of Metro Van. Slush below with rain near SL.

10cm E Vancouver Island, especially above 100m.

Fraser Valley....cold pool and some downsloping could really limit moisture out there. Don't want to say zero...but it could be zero.
I think there is a very small chance that the air mass is to dry to support snow in the Valley. This isn't a strong outflow event.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: Fri Jan 22, 2021 8:06 pm Really depends on how unstable the airmass is and whether the offshore gradients flatten. See RH near 35-40% In E Fraser Valley tomorrow.

Then again...anything goes. GFS is a smudge bit better for moistute despite warmer onshore flow.
Yea it’s a tough call. Looks like that weak low will kind of meander around.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Catnip wrote: Fri Jan 22, 2021 5:44 pm Gumper, are you going to make any gains this weekend in the Winter Classic?

:think:
Sure hope so , my bad back's against the wall,gonna give it 110%,on second thought at my age I could only give about 40% , gotta take 1cm at a time,one snowfall at time, and maybe put a tarp over sardineman's property when he's not looking.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weatherhead »

Storm wrote: Fri Jan 22, 2021 6:51 pm Throw it out. It gives more in Victoria than here, not a chance that is happening.
So true..I'm not in victoria but langford so we can get a tiny bit of snow. Just cant see realistically the grass being white in town. Maybe just the tips. 🤔😂
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Weatherhead wrote: Fri Jan 22, 2021 8:30 pm So true..I'm not in victoria but langford so we can get a tiny bit of snow. Just cant see realistically the grass being white in town. Maybe just the tips. 🤔😂
Are we bringing back frosted tips? (Good grief what an awful hairstyle though)
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Interesting drive around Surrey today. Frost lasted all day on northern protected sides of the ground and roofs. In my area frost stayed on my neighbours car all day in the shade. My drive from South Surrey to home included 3 temperature zones. -1 in South Surrey, -3 at sea level along the farmland (odd) -1 in Cloverdale, - 3 in Fleetwood and Tynehead, -1 in Fraser Heights.

Current: -1
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

00z GFS has a bit of snow for Weds.
8C4939A3-EF89-48D0-B413-031E2306132E.jpeg
FE8583F0-2955-4EE0-9838-A5B0B2052CC3.jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

It's so borderline with temperatures that this could bust easily, but still.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Weather101 »

Can someone tell me a update ?
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Fri Jan 22, 2021 9:39 pm 00z GFS has a bit of snow for Weds.

8C4939A3-EF89-48D0-B413-031E2306132E.jpeg
FE8583F0-2955-4EE0-9838-A5B0B2052CC3.jpeg
Yeah. Nice little band of wraparound moisture around that low. Looks cooler too, so that's promising.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Bonovox wrote: Fri Jan 22, 2021 9:46 pm It's so borderline with temperatures that this could bust easily, but still.
:x
Dont back out now Bono!!
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
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