January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Forrest Gump wrote: ↑Thu Jan 21, 2021 11:20 pm I'm at +2 , Yahoo! Mountain Dew!
Pretty good for sunny south surrey which is always 5 C warmer than everywhere else lol!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

WeatherPro wrote: ↑Thu Jan 21, 2021 11:14 pm Kamloops forecast low tonight -7
Currently -8 and falling.

Lytton forecast low tonight -5
Currently -3 and falling

Arctic air starting to invading Lytton.

It's moving south! It is coming! Not too far away now.
Great points!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Not to be a Debbie downer here but 90% humidity in Prince George, Williams Lake, and Quesnel, is not exactly indicative of an arctic airmass sliding south.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Pretty good video on why the models are struggling right now. Especially the EPS. All to do with incorrectly handling the MJO. Interesting stuff.

https://youtu.be/PYZLJtyX6w0
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monty wrote: ↑Thu Jan 21, 2021 11:32 pm Not to be a Debbie downer here but 90% humidity in Prince George, Williams Lake, and Quesnel, is not exactly indicative of an arctic airmass sliding south.
Yeah, I'd love to jump on the Arctic express, but a 2 degree temp and dew point spread in Prince George isn't exactly earth shattering.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Thu Jan 21, 2021 11:33 pm Pretty good video on why the models are struggling right now. Especially the EPS. All to do with incorrectly handling the MJO. Interesting stuff.

https://youtu.be/PYZLJtyX6w0
The MJO is a big player. I’m hopeful we see things swing in our favour as it becomes more favourable
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monty wrote: ↑Thu Jan 21, 2021 11:35 pm The MJO is a big player. I’m hopeful we see things swing in our favour as it becomes more favourable
Pretty interesting in how it drives the pattern in the NPAC at times. The EPS seems to think it will emerge in phase 7, but in reality it will probably be phase 6.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Thu Jan 21, 2021 11:36 pm Pretty interesting in how it drives the pattern in the NPAC at times. The EPS seems to think it will emerge in phase 7, but in reality it will probably be phase 6.
Both cool west phases. Though I think 7 is better.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Macster »

-1.8. Coldest temp of the season....
Slow signs of winter
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: ↑Thu Jan 21, 2021 11:43 pm Both cool west phases. Though I think 7 is better.
If the MJO moves into phase 6 or 7, I think we have a good chance of seeing at least some arctic air. -ENSO/+QBO with favourable tropical forcing should get the job done. Right now, the MJO is not in the cold phases, so its hard to get the idea 500mb pattern.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

06z Nam is coming in hot for the LM
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Kinda dozed off there did l miss anything.?
Last edited by SouthSardiswx on Fri Jan 22, 2021 4:10 am, edited 1 time in total.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Fri Jan 22, 2021 12:32 am Kinfa dozed off there did l miss anything.?
Foot of snow for LM
Screenshot_20210122-004215_Samsung Internet.jpg
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Storm wrote: ↑Fri Jan 22, 2021 12:39 am Foot of snow for LM
Screenshot_20210122-004215_Samsung Internet.jpg
ln your dreams, :lol: or mine.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

And the 06Z Goofius is a pile of.💩 winter cancelled. :cry:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
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