January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Storm
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

Nito, ready for it mate. :mrgreen:
gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nw-total_snow_10to1-2461600.png
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Antares
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

Pleaaaaaase pleasssseeee let it snow that much. Just once.
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Heavy 254 »

Storm wrote: ↑Tue Jan 19, 2021 4:32 pm Nito, ready for it mate. :mrgreen:
gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nw-total_snow_10to1-2461600.png
That would help my bank account for sure. Give something to push
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Feetz today feetz gone tomorrow. :crazy:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Monty
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Jan 19, 2021 12:36 pm It will be interesting to see this play out. Midday Sunday the Euro has light outflow, surface temps between 1-2c, 925mb temp -2 and 850mb temp between -4 to -5.
925mb of -2 with offshore flow is usually good enough for most. Exception is probably right along the water.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Monty wrote: ↑Tue Jan 19, 2021 5:17 pm 925mb of -2 with offshore flow is usually good enough for most. Exception is probably right along the water.
And Abby.

:chilly: :rainy:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Jan 19, 2021 5:22 pm And Abby.

:chilly: :rainy:
Probably downslope drying there.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Roberts Creeker »

Storm wrote: ↑Tue Jan 19, 2021 4:32 pm Nito, ready for it mate. :mrgreen:
gfs-ensemble-all-avg-nw-total_snow_10to1-2461600.png
Oh wow! I thought it was cm's.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

It’s been a while since this location missed out on a good low elevation snow event, hoping to continue that streak. For a location below 100m, I’ve seen it snowing here and raining on places like the Upper Levels highway. Seems like it’s sandwiched right in the sweet spot of outflow and onshore flow.
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Rubus_Leucodermis
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Rubus_Leucodermis »

Antares wrote: ↑Tue Jan 19, 2021 4:42 pm Pleaaaaaase pleasssseeee let it snow that much. Just once.
Where you here in 1996? From about Seattle northward, there was so much snow that it was surreal.
It's called clown range for a reason.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Catnip wrote: ↑Tue Jan 19, 2021 5:22 pm And Abby.

:chilly: :rainy:
Wouldn't surprise me. I often don't do well in cold onshore flow setups.

Abbotsford does best when there is already arctic air entrenched or moisture meets up with an incoming arctic front forming a convergence zone.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Antares »

Rubus_Leucodermis wrote: ↑Tue Jan 19, 2021 6:12 pm Where you here in 1996? From about Seattle northward, there was so much snow that it was surreal.
No unfortunately I was in Portland during that time, which majorly busted. :lol:
It always snows in December in the Kootenays :clap:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Look at the 500mb pattern March 5th and 6th 1951.

Abbotsford recorded 63.5cm of snow in 48 hours. There was heavy snow prior and after that two day special as well. 102.6cm over 5 days.

March 5th:
march51951.gif
March 6th:
march61951.gif
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Jan 19, 2021 6:55 pm Look at the 500mb pattern March 5th and 6th 1951.

Abbotsford recorded 63.5cm of snow in 48 hours. There was heavy snow prior and after that two day special as well. 102.6cm over 5 days.

March 5th:
march51951.gif

March 6th:
march61951.gif
How many feetz did Chilliwack record?
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
:hockey: South Sardinies: 0cm :morerain:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

18z Ensembles
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