January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[John]

Really? That looks like a pretty epic snowy run.

Yes and the first storm is coming earlier. Don’t know what pk wants more maybe colder temps?

[Storm]

ICON looks good

[Hawk]

Sunday’s system looks like a snow to rain scenario.

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Please dont be so negative at this time...

[Storm]

All major models are advertising snow for Sunday.

[PortKells]

Really? That looks like a pretty epic snowy run.

There's a decent amount of rain after the initial surge. So its not like we would be sitting on a nice 12" snowpack. Lots of slush and mud. But to be clear its still going to be fun and scores better than winter up to this point.

[Catnip]

It becomes less impressive once you realize that’s cumulative snow from now until hour 384 (16 days).

384 hr snow maps should be used for entertainment purposes only.

They shouldn't even bother wasting computing power to run those maps.

[Catnip]

Please dont be so negative at this time...

No negativity intended.

[Catnip]

Lots of cold onshore flow shown on the 12z GFS. Multiple snow chances.

[South Island]

A ton of cold in the central interior and Yukon in the long range on the 12z gfs. Just need a mechanism to draw it down here.

[wetcoast91]

[Catnip]

[PortKells]

Very curious what the first week of Feb will look like as we get closer. Imagine we build a bit of a snowpack and then get a true arctic blast...

[AbbyJr]

There's a decent amount of rain after the initial surge. So its not like we would be sitting on a nice 12" snowpack. Lots of slush and mud. But to be clear its still going to be fun and scores better than winter up to this point.

That can be an issue with cold onshore flow setups. Once the low passes, it stops drawing in the cold and we warm a bit. But models are usually quick to warm us up and it's still days away, so no need to worry yet. Trends are looking better for us again.

[Catnip]

That pattern would really pile up the snow in places with a bit of elevation.

I think Pomoman would be very happy with that setup.

[AbbyJr]

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