January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Bonovox
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: Sun Jan 17, 2021 8:31 pm There is more coming.... Weds
Round 2 begins Tuesday afternoon.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

WP snow update plz, plus more El Nito bashing. :lol:
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Jan 17, 2021 8:32 pm Round 2 begins Tuesday afternoon.
Snow storm by Tuesday evening.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Cant afford to trend much warmer here.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

I summons WP.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

PortKells wrote: Sun Jan 17, 2021 8:34 pm Cant afford to trend much warmer here.
C’mon be positive!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Gem has first snow earlier
Last edited by John on Sun Jan 17, 2021 8:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Jan 17, 2021 8:34 pm Snow storm by Tuesday evening.
Round 2 drops a few more inches across the region.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Jan 17, 2021 8:18 pm Much colder air available in the interior though.
And for snow that makes a huge difference here. If you have a low track favourably, it will draw in the cold from the interior. Therefore, the more cold available to draw in the better.

These are situations where you don't need an arctic front for snow, because the low draws in the cold from the interior on its own. So during a cold onshore flow, we want lots of cold available in the interior. This is why January 1996 was so snowy. Arctic air was firmly entrenched in the interior. The lows drew in the cold air. Eventually an arctic front did rush in but that was after the snowfalls.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

AbbyJr wrote: Sun Jan 17, 2021 8:38 pm And for snow that makes a huge difference here. If you have a low track favourably, it will draw in the cold from the interior. Therefore, the more cold available to draw in the better.

These are situations where you don't need an arctic front for snow, because the low draws in the cold from the interior on its own. So during a cold onshore flow, we want lots of cold available in the interior. This is why January 1996 was so snowy. Arctic air was firmly entrenched in the interior. The lows drew in the cold air. Eventually an arctic front did rush in but that was after the snowfalls.
John's not on board.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Total snowfall during the week.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Gem!!
5FAE8FD9-2ECB-44B5-890E-AFEA7B15140A.png
07C409C3-C360-4FCA-9FBD-53A030519DD2.jpeg
49D99EB9-1125-4445-B9BD-7CF4004D000D.jpeg
F66EC12C-3E3F-4D0A-8322-9D007C033311.jpeg
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Jan 17, 2021 8:40 pm Total snowfall during the week.
Not as much.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

At a macro level, the 00z GFS is colder than the 18z later in the run.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: Sun Jan 17, 2021 8:43 pm At a macro level, the 00z GFS is colder than the 18z later in the run.
Some positive trends today Mr. Bono.

:thumbup:

#teamsnow
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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