January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Hound wrote: Sun Jan 17, 2021 7:17 pm Yes, those were often better than EC's. I miss those. Too bad the former operator became to busy and let it slide into oblivion.
True but this site is 100x better. I remember when WP has is thermometer on line. The background outside was some playground l told him he should change it cuz it looked liked he was streaming kids.
And someone might get the wrong idea.
I think that's when he took it down.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
:gramps: Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm :mehrain:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Writeups are miles better than just sticking a number and an icon out on the forecast. To this day I still look to the NWS forecast discussion when looking ahead to a pattern change rather than rely on the day 7 flip floppy computer garbage from EC
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sun Jan 17, 2021 7:24 pm Writeups are miles better than just sticking a number and an icon out on the forecast. To this day I still look to the NWS forecast discussion when looking ahead to a pattern change rather than rely on the day 7 flip floppy computer garbage from EC
So do l but even then at the end it usually says confidence is low. So what's the difference then if even they're not sure.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

I have been here since 07/08. Arbetrader invited me here from The Old Farmers Almanac weather forum.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Jan 17, 2021 6:55 pm Can't recall Nito mentioning extreme cold ever since...I guess the February 2014 event scarred him for life.
:lol: :lol: :lol:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock with #patternshift mid month :D
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Jan 17, 2021 6:49 pm Found a good one! Monty and hawk going back and forth about the accuracy of the January 1950 stats
I wouldn't say we were going back and forth. It looks like we were both agreeing that the stats were probably off so I'm not sure why I made that statement that he's defending the statistics unless it was from an earlier post possibly. There's also the possibility I might have been drinking and didn't know what I was doing :shifty:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock with #patternshift mid month :D
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

Typeing3 wrote: Sun Jan 17, 2021 6:55 pm Can't recall Nito mentioning extreme cold ever since...I guess the February 2014 event scarred him for life.
Feb 2014 was great. I remember it coincided with the Olympic gold medal hockey game, and every goal seemed to make the snow heavier that night. I know the airport was sort of flipping back and forth and didn't manage to accumulate much but I had just enough elevation to get a good deal more. I know further inland did even better.

Edit: I also kept count, and for that 72 hour period it was snowing for something like 56 of those hours, and the best part was EC refused to issue a snowfall warning until it had already snowed for 28 hours straight, with significant accumulations in the suburbs.
Last edited by VanCitySouth on Sun Jan 17, 2021 7:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

I was tyweather right from Jan 09
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

I been on here forever..started when it was WeatherPage or whatever. Must have been 2001 or so. I believe I first commented on a snowstorm we got in the Kerrisdale area of Vancouver when EC just messed up the forecast. They said showers or flurries and it started as heavy snow and we ended up getting almost a foot and EC didn't even update the forecast of course until there was 8 in of snow on the ground. And I could tell from the radar we had a little low sitting in the straight and it was just pumping up these monstrous bands of precip and we got hammered with it. I even messaged the owner of weather page at the time I'm not sure who it was and I told them I think we're going to get hammered with snow and they asked me what my weather credentials were lol. EC couldn't figure it out and I saw what was happening. EC fell asleep at the wheel. That's 20 years ago Buttees.
When I wore a younger mans clothes... :relaxedos:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock with #patternshift mid month :D
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Quote from Cliff Mass on his most recent blog:
Let me make it clear, this pattern will not produce colder than normal temperatures over the eastern U.S. as some of the media were calling for.

And yes...this IS a snow threat for the Northwest lowlands. But I will wait until Tuesday to talk about that in depth.
:D :clap: :lol:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hound »

Hawk wrote: Sun Jan 17, 2021 7:48 pm I been on here forever.. 20 years ago Buttees.
When I wore a younger mans clothes... :relaxedos:
Now you are a lot more chubby! :P
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

0z looks cooler than the 18z thus far, to my untrained eye. Perhaps inconsequential since it's only into Thursday which is not the meat and bones of this pattern change.
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

The block is looking healthier.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

VanCitySouth wrote: Sun Jan 17, 2021 7:46 pm Feb 2014 was great. I remember it coincided with the Olympic gold medal hockey game, and every goal seemed to make the snow heavier that night. I know the airport was sort of flipping back and forth and didn't manage to accumulate much but I had just enough elevation to get a good deal more. I know further inland did even better.

Edit: I also kept count, and for that 72 hour period it was snowing for something like 56 of those hours, and the best part was EC refused to issue a snowfall warning until it had already snowed for 28 hours straight, with significant accumulations in the suburbs.
Yeah, the late month event was pretty sweet. Lots of non sticking snowfall the first couple days for my area so only picked up about 10cm but got an additional ~15cm on the third day. I remember Westwood plateau got burried with nearly 60cm.

I was originally referring to the dry (backdoor) arctic outbreak early on in the month though.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Stronger ridging... I think this run will be better?
1.png
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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

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