Models have the blocking getting disrupted by cutoff Lows. And then they also have the block flopping over pushing the cold east. Cant see how we will win. But again, when there is a future, there is always hope! Past 5-6 days..it can always change back in the snowlovers favour. Until then, chalk another victory up for Nito!!!
January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
- Hawk
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year!
#patternlock with #patternshift mid month
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
#patternlock with #patternshift mid month
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
Not quite yet. But, you do you.Hawk wrote: ↑Sat Jan 16, 2021 12:32 pm Models have the blocking getting disrupted by cutoff Lows. And then they also have the block flopping over pushing the cold east. Cant see how we will win. But again, when there is a future, there is always hope! Past 5-6 days..it can always change back in the snowlovers favour. Until then, chalk another victory up for Nito!!!
Spring/Summer Fall/Winter
Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level
Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level
Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
It may end up not working out. Climo is hard to beat. One can't deny that.
However, it's pretty hard to be disappointed by this. Cool and at times active. There probably will be low land snow opportunities in there.
However, it's pretty hard to be disappointed by this. Cool and at times active. There probably will be low land snow opportunities in there.
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Spring/Summer Fall/Winter
Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level
Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level
Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
- PortKells
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
I think we're all in agreement that epic and amazing is off the table. But a decent to good pattern is still quite doable.
- AbbyJr
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
I'm not in agreement with that yet, but I guess that depends on ones definition of epic. This most likely won't be historical and likely won't compare to some of legendary events such as December 1996. But it still has potential to turn into a decent cold and snowy pattern.
I wouldn't get emotionally attached to the models right now. They are all over the place and flip flopping. There is a lot going on in the atmosphere making it very difficult for the models to latch onto a solution.
I should add that with the modelled solutions, only minor changes would be needed to turn the pattern much for favourable for us. These details may not be known until a few days out. The model ride continues.
Last edited by AbbyJr on Sat Jan 16, 2021 1:04 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)
2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
50m (164ft)
2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
And that's why l don't excited this far out. It was an entertaining week l must say.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
Wrinkle Rockers: 0cm
South Sardinies: 0cm
CYCW station
https://cycw.awos.live/local-weather
- PortKells
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
Yep. I'm going to keep tracking it. Not much else to do lmao. We've got a solid team of die hards going here.AbbyJr wrote: ↑Sat Jan 16, 2021 1:00 pm I'm not in agreement with that yet, but I guess that depends on ones definition of epic. This most likely won't be historical and likely won't compare to some of legendary events such as December 1996. But it still has potential to turn into a decent cold and snowy pattern.
I wouldn't get emotionally attached to the models right now. They are all over the place and flip flopping. There is a lot going on in the atmosphere making it very difficult for the models to latch onto a solution.
I should add that with the modelled solutions, only minor changes would be needed to turn the pattern much for favourable for us. These details may not be known until a few days out. The model ride continues.
Maybe we need to get #TEAMSNOW trending here again, it's worked before.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
Ok so environment canada, weather network and global's sky tracker all show below freezing highs for Squamish come next Saturday and flurries. So it is cancel winter again now? Or uncancel or cancel or uncancel im so confused. Why would all these weather stations show cold if it is not coming? From some peoples comments I am getting the feeling it is going to be warm now? Holy roller coaster ride for past few days. Yesterday it was winter is on today it is off and tonight on again? I have a feeling the models will change a few more times before end of week. Good god some peeps take this sooo seriously lol I am happy with just some cold and snow it doesnt need to be -20! Of course I prefer arctic air cold outflow winds and snow but I will gladly take anything besides what we have had lately
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
GFS Ensembles still show hope.
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Central Abbotsford
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
50m (164ft)
2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
- Pumpkin Seed
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
I think I am a bit too old for any ride of roller coaster. This winter ... what a joke!
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Elevation: 2 ft
- Catnip
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
Hawk wrote: ↑Sat Jan 16, 2021 12:32 pm Models have the blocking getting disrupted by cutoff Lows. And then they also have the block flopping over pushing the cold east. Cant see how we will win. But again, when there is a future, there is always hope! Past 5-6 days..it can always change back in the snowlovers favour. Until then, chalk another victory up for Nito!!!
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
Got my boots strapped on for the 18Z. Should be a wild ride.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
- AbbyJr
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
Update on upcoming pattern change by Cliff Mass:
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2021/01/ ... ntial.html
https://cliffmass.blogspot.com/2021/01/ ... ntial.html
Last edited by AbbyJr on Sat Jan 16, 2021 1:38 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Central Abbotsford
50m (164ft)
2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
50m (164ft)
2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm
- Catnip
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
This is what I assumed was going to come out of it, so I am not disappointed. Anyone who thought that the epic cold depicted on a few runs was coming may be though.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
- Catnip
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions
Time to hang the boots up Mr. M.
Nito has already won, apparently.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB
2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm
Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27