January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7038
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320ft/3000ft
Has thanked: 12920 times
Been thanked: 6541 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

On a positive note, look at the bright side. Nito was right yet AGAIN!! Consider this the warning shot with a chilly/cold early February. Right Nito?

#Nitosrightagain :clap:
Last edited by Hawk on Sat Jan 16, 2021 8:29 am, edited 1 time in total.
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock with #patternshift mid month :D
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7038
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320ft/3000ft
Has thanked: 12920 times
Been thanked: 6541 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

12z GFS :thumbdown: :thumbdown:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock with #patternshift mid month :D
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
User avatar
Hawk
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 7038
Joined: Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:45 pm
Location: Langley/The Similkameeeens
Elevation: 320ft/3000ft
Has thanked: 12920 times
Been thanked: 6541 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Youre right Nito..that cutoff Low looks like it will intensify enough to cause much milder temps. It actually could be all over before it even started lol. :lol: :lol:

Lets pray the models all flip back to days 3 days ago solutions in the next few days. YESSSSS :roll:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock with #patternshift mid month :D
Willoughby Langley at ~320ft / Similkameeeens ~3400ft
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2603
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 3968 times
Been thanked: 4240 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Hawk wrote: Sat Jan 16, 2021 8:26 am 12z GFS :thumbdown: :thumbdown:
Don’t actually mind this run looks like we are in the battle zone between cold and snow
User avatar
Storm
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6590
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:09 pm
Location: North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Has thanked: 2397 times
Been thanked: 11318 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Storm »

John wrote: Sat Jan 16, 2021 8:41 am Don’t actually mind this run looks like we are in the battle zone between cold and snow
The Operational runs are all over the place.
North Burnaby/Burquitlam
Elevation - 64 M./210 Feet
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2603
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 3968 times
Been thanked: 4240 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Storm wrote: Sat Jan 16, 2021 8:43 am The Operational runs are all over the place.
Which ones?
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2603
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 3968 times
Been thanked: 4240 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Looks like the gem is caving to the gfs :thumbdown:
The gfs leads the way. As usual.
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2603
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 3968 times
Been thanked: 4240 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

Major model failure looks like the brunt of the cold is going to the east coast by hour 276 what a difference suddenly
User avatar
wetcoast91
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6263
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 3:12 pm
Location: New Westminster
Elevation: 106m
Has thanked: 6200 times
Been thanked: 14251 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Good lawn mowing and bulb planting weather coming up!
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Jan 16, 2021 7:47 am Image


Op runs once again prove to drag the Ens mean up. Could trend even warmer mid range if that cut off low offshore intensifies. At least it looks dry.
You can at least start planning your parade route. Keep it small and everyone must mask up.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
VanCitySouth
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 3759
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:21 pm
Location: Vancouver (Langara)
Elevation: 72 m/236 ft
Has thanked: 4110 times
Been thanked: 8005 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Jan 16, 2021 9:10 am Good lawn mowing and bulb planting weather coming up!
In 2 months!
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9850
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12039 times
Been thanked: 21749 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Catnip wrote: Tue Jan 12, 2021 9:53 pm Just playing devils advocate here... but I’ve seen the operational runs lead the change in the past. Not saying it’s going to happen (I hope not anyways) but it wouldn’t be the first time if it did.
:think: :think: :think:
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Storm wrote: Sat Jan 16, 2021 8:43 am The Operational runs are all over the place.
The 6Z GFS parallel, which is replacing the GFS at some point, was crazy cold. Colder than last nights GEM.

:dunno:
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

wetcoast91 wrote: Sat Jan 16, 2021 9:10 am Good lawn mowing and bulb planting weather coming up!
I saw someone mowing there lawn on Thursday. :thumbdown:
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Not sure what happened to the east being locked into the cold. I see Barrie had some record highs. Their monthly mean for January so far is above their average high. Just a mega torch there.
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
Post Reply