January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Bonovox
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monty wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 8:51 pm The Gem is cold enough to freeze the (insert inappropriate old saying here). Off the charts cold. Just a touch of model uncertainty Right now.
Waiting for the GEM to finish on WxBell, but in the meantime....


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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Biggest difference between the GFS and GEM early on is the GEM doesn't develop the cut off lows on the back edge of the block. Pretty much salvages the run.

At least not to the same degree.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

Monty wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 8:52 pm A bit early for celebratory high fives and parade route planning. No?
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AbbyJr
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Monty wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 8:51 pm The Gem is cold enough to freeze the (insert inappropriate old saying here). Off the charts cold. Just a touch of model uncertainty Right now.
Which would you rather have on our side if you had to choose? GEM or GFS?
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

00z GEM looks good. Arctic air reaches the south coast by day 8 with some snow before drying out and going into the freezer.

Day 7
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_28.png
Day 8
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_32.png
Day 9
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_36.png
Day 10
gem_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_40.png
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 9:01 pm Image
I actually remember watching this game. :lol:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 9:02 pm Which would you rather have on our side if you had to choose? GEM or GFS?
Flip a coin. I think the gfs looks a bit funky with all of its cutoff lows lately but it could happen. GEM usually over amplifies things in the long range. I think anything beyond 5 days is a bigger mess than normal right now.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Good grief.

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Cold again after the end

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Last edited by tyweather on Fri Jan 15, 2021 9:10 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Cold Runs

Nito:
giphy1.gif
Warm Runs:
tenor.gif
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

GEM vs GFS
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 9:12 pm Cold Runs

Nito:

giphy1.gif

Warm Runs:

tenor.gif
:lol: :lol: :lol:



True.... :shock:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 9:13 pmGEM vs GFS
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Significant arctic blast day 8-10 on the 00z GEM. 850mb temps at YVR...

Day 7.5: -6c
Day 8: -9c
Day 8.5: -12c
Day 9: -13c
Day 9.5: -17c
Day 10: -15c
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 9:13 pmGEM vs GFS
I'll take one order of the GEM to go please. :thumbup:
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