LadnerWeather wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 10:51 am
That is a crazy looking block on day 8/9 of the 12z Euro. Very cold air in the interior too
I wouldn't exactly consider this "very cold air" on day 8 and 9. 850mb temps look to be between -10c and -18c in the interior which isn't really that significant.
ecmwf_T850_nwus_9.png
ecmwf_T850_nwus_10.png
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AbbyJr wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 11:49 am
The blocking looked better to me but maybe its just me. Still lots of time but we don't need a moderating trend right now.
Weakened signal for high latitude blocking over Alaska day 7-9 over the last few runs while day 10+ looks to be the same. As you said, we don't want that turning into a trend.
wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 11:07 am
May have to wait by next week before we get a clearer picture. A transitionary cold snap for now but any blocking in the GOA keeps the Western CONUS in the game
Yup. Time will tell. Though I have a hard time imaging all we get a is a transitionary cold snap with the modelled blocking.
Typeing3 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 11:52 am
Weakened signal for high latitude blocking over Alaska day 7-9 over the last few runs while day 10+ looks to be the same. As you said, we don't want that turning into a trend.
Let's hope it doesn't turn into a trend or if it does, that it reverts back to the colder solutions. Still lots of time. Models keep flip flopping so nothing is set in stone yet.
The 500mb signal looks good. But unfortunately, there just isn't a strong cold signal. Hopefully that changes. I was hoping we would have more cold to work with after the SSW. Hopefully its still coming but perhaps its been dumped on the other side of the pole?
Last edited by AbbyJr on Fri Jan 15, 2021 12:03 pm, edited 2 times in total.
wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 10:00 am
The trick is to say the outlook looks promising for cold and snow regardless of the model trends. This ensures you don't get downvoted and recieve sassy messages from Michael1, Bono and "WinterStormPro." Truth be told...I think most of us woud prefer dry over the crud we seen the past 3 weeks.
This.
Actually, snow first then a nice cool, dry stretch.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
Typeing3 wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 11:44 am
I wouldn't exactly consider this "very cold air" on day 8 and 9. 850mb temps look to be between -10c and -18c in the interior which isn't really that significant.
ecmwf_T850_nwus_9.png
ecmwf_T850_nwus_10.png
Ya the 500mb pattern looked cold but not as much cold air available. Still better than yesterdays 12z at least
Currently located in Tsawwassen, beside Tsawwassen Mills
PortKells wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 12:33 pm
This is another headfake IMO. I’ve fallen for it so many times. If I’m wrong then meh, it’s just weather. We’ll survive.
Nothing could bring me down anyways. I get my doggy back today
Awesome news! Hope all goes well with the recovery.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.
PortKells wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 12:33 pm
This is another headfake IMO. I’ve fallen for it so many times. If I’m wrong then meh, it’s just weather. We’ll survive.
Nothing could bring me down anyways. I get my doggy back today
Good to hear that. Yup, to all dog lovers like us, your dog’s health is more important than the weather hobby.
PortKells wrote: ↑Fri Jan 15, 2021 12:42 pm
We are shocked how fast she’s getting her walking ability back. Dogs are incredibly resilient like that.
Fall/Winter 
