March 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

[Forrest Gump]

Screw that. I am surprised no talk for snow on Monday Night.

18z NaM
namconus_ref_frzn_nwus_52.png
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Ya...well Weatherpro mentioned it yesterday and Madryga just mentioned.

[Storm]

Ya...well Weatherpro mentioned it yesterday and Madryga just mentioned.

This looks like more of a widespread snowfall.

[Abby_wx]

Technically you are correct. However, I dont weigh it against long term average but against the last 10-15 years of a warmer climate, el Nino average and seasonal forecasts. Weak el Nino or not, this is an A winter compared to recent el ninos ones IMO. It outperformed last years weak la nina/low solar combination. The only better one I can think of in recent times would be 06/07, and only because of that november blizzard. This one had longer cold and more snow chances to track. But obviously this last month had its palm in face moments, especially that ****ing dust storm/seattle blizzard

Fair enough. For a winter that was advertised as an El Nino, it definitely over-performed. On the other hand, this winter didn't end up meeting the official criteria for an El Nino. Had we actually been in a true El Nino, a February like the one we just experienced would have been even more shocking.

The rest of the details, such as whether snowfall amounts were above or below average, come down to specific locations.

I've had pretty much exactly 50 cm of snow this winter, but I had 47.4 cm last winter, so not much of a difference. My average over the last 11 winters is 46.8 cm, so I can say I'm right around average for the last two winters.

YVR hasn't received measurable snowfall since February 14th. They're sitting at 31.2 cm for the entire winter. I don't know what their average for the last 10-15 years is, but I do know that they averaged 38.1 cm for 1981-2010.

The first two weeks of February were solid in terms of snowfall for pretty much everyone, but the last three weeks have been mostly marginal events. We've over-performed for persistence of cold air, but haven't seen any extreme cold (nothing below -10C at most stations). We've basically had five weeks of below normal temperatures, which may or may not compensate for an above normal December and January.

When it's all said and done, everyone will have their own subjective interpretation. To me, overall, it's a near-normal winter that was compressed into one abnormally cold month, but with no real extreme cold or really deep snowfall.

[newwestguy]

Ya...well Weatherpro mentioned it yesterday and Madryga just mentioned.

Madryga/(Weatherpro)?

[Forrest Gump]

This looks like more of a widespread snowfall.

Looks like another lookoutthewindownowcast for the lower elevations, as Madryga hedged his bets by mentioning better for higher elevations.

Wasn't Nito's forecast for wet and drizzle?

[Forrest Gump]

Madryga/(Weatherpro)?

Nope, Madryga lives in my neck of the South Surrey woods while Weatherpro is stationed in the northern frozen tundra called Edmonton, poor guy.

[Storm]

Madryga/(Weatherpro)?

Madriga - WeatherPro
Kuss - Nito

Michael Kuss - busted this last couple of days so bad. He was telling straight rain for all, where Russ Lacate was saying exactly what happened. Also Kuss said this morning that we are done with the snow and forecasting rain from now on.

[Forrest Gump]

Madriga - WeatherPro
Kuss - Nito

Michael Kuss - busted this last couple of days so bad. He was telling straight rain for all, where Russ Lacate was saying exactly what happened. Also Kuss said this morning that we are done with the snow and forecasting rain from now on.

Why is Kuss on so much lately instead of Lacate?

[Typeing3]

Fair enough. For a winter that was advertised as an El Nino, it definitely over-performed. On the other hand, this winter didn't end up meeting the official criteria for an El Nino. Had we actually been in a true El Nino, a February like the one we just experienced would have been even more shocking.

The rest of the details, such as whether snowfall amounts were above or below average, come down to specific locations.

I've had pretty much exactly 50 cm of snow this winter, but I had 47.4 cm last winter, so not much of a difference. My average over the last 11 winters is 46.8 cm, so I can say I'm right around average for the last two winters.

YVR hasn't received measurable snowfall since February 14th. They're sitting at 31.2 cm for the entire winter. I don't know what their average for the last 10-15 years is, but I do know that they averaged 38.1 cm for 1981-2010.

The first two weeks of February were solid in terms of snowfall for pretty much everyone, but the last three weeks have been mostly marginal events. We've over-performed for persistence of cold air, but haven't seen any extreme cold (nothing below -10C at most stations). We've basically had five weeks of below normal temperatures, which may or may not compensate for an above normal December and January.

When it's all said and done, everyone will have their own subjective interpretation. To me, overall, it's a near-normal winter that was compressed into one abnormally cold month, but with no real extreme cold or really deep snowfall.

Very well said. Couldn't have said it any better. Pretty much an average winter in the end. Lack of cold and deep snowfall for most however over a month of unabated chilly weather made the monthly average look very impressive.

[Abby_wx]

Madriga - WeatherPro
Kuss - Nito

Michael Kuss - busted this last couple of days so bad. He was telling straight rain for all, where Russ Lacate was saying exactly what happened. Also Kuss said this morning that we are done with the snow and forecasting rain from now on.

Kuss is usually good, but he is pretty conservative (very much like Nito, like you said).

I still remember when he predicted 2 cm for Abbotsford and we ended up with about 14 cm... lol. This was a few years ago... 2016, I think.

[Hound]

Google is getting rid of Google+ due to low usage.

Yes, but many people think this means their gmail etc.

[Antares]

Beautiful day out there. Big puffy clouds.

[Hound]

Well, if we can get that one last big dump, I will be happy to say goodbye to winter. Let's hope WP & Mardyga are correct.
Oh yay, time change coming up as well. Time to abolish that crap!
Plus Antares needs his snowfall as well!

[Monty]

iPhone = good. I can’t remember if I mentioned it before but I recovered my phone that was stolen in early February. We used that stolen phone feature and tracked the phone to a snowbank the day it was stolen. Unfortunately we couldn’t find it in the snow and weren’t sure if it was there still or had just died at that location. Several weeks later, when the snow had melted, there was my phone. Works perfectly. It did have an old life proof case on it that was cracked in several places and the charging port door was left open in the snow. My wallet is a different story. Doubt I’ll ever see that again.

[Monty]

Monday looks pretty marginal again. Probably mixed precip lower levels and some accumulation at elevation.