February 2019 Forecasts and Discussions

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:18 pm

All mesoscale models seem to develop a period of moderate precip tomorrow afternoon around 3/4pm. Temps will be around 1C/2C though...

nam3km_mslp_pcpn_frzn_nwus_24.png

Best bet for decent accumulations are in the valley, north of the fraser or at at higher elevation if close to the coast.

Radar · Post by **Radar** » Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:19 pm

How accurate are the RAP and HRRR models?
Wondering how cold it will get around 4am in Aldergrove.

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:20 pm

Radar wrote: ↑Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:19 pm How accurate are the RAP and HRRR models?
Wondering how cold it will get around 4am in Aldergrove.

HRRR is probably the best model at precip futurecasting within 10hrs. Garbage with temperature though.

Not too sure about the RAP.

Typeing3 · Post by **Typeing3** » Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:24 pm

3km NAM total snowfall. Looks pretty much in line with my forecast

newwestguy · Post by **newwestguy** » Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:27 pm

A more zoomed in NAM 3k 0z map.

nam3k.png

Post by **SouthSardiswx** » Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:30 pm

newwestguy wrote: ↑Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:27 pm A more zoomed in NAM 3k 0z map.
nam3k.png

All models in agreement for a valley special, will gain ground on Gumps season total.

Post by **Catnip** » Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:30 pm

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:30 pm All models in agreement for a valley special, will gain ground on Gumps season total.

Models could be wrong.....

#nowcast

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:34 pm

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:30 pm All models in agreement for a valley special, will gain ground on Gumps season total.

Sure about that. How is cold rain for Chilliwack.

hrrr_ref_frzn_nwus_17.png

Post by **SouthSardiswx** » Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:38 pm

Storm wrote: ↑Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:34 pm Sure about that. How is cold rain for Chilliwack.

hrrr_ref_frzn_nwus_17.png

We will find out.

Stormer

Storm · Post by **Storm** » Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:40 pm

Sardisbcwx wrote: ↑Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:38 pm We will find out.

That's one nasty emoji.

Post by **SouthSardiswx** » Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:44 pm

Storm wrote: ↑Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:40 pm That's one nasty emoji.

Kinda sums up the AF

Post by **Hound** » Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:47 pm

Glad you guys are having fun with the emoji's. I gave one a name of W101 lol..

Hawk · Post by **Hawk** » Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:52 pm

Hi buttees. I leave a week and missed a lot whoa.

Lisa0527 · Post by **Lisa0527** » Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:52 pm

IÃ¢â‚¬â„¢m really happy about these new emojis, but a little scared of what will happen when Hawk gets back!
#forumcrash

Hawk · Post by **Hawk** » Mon Feb 18, 2019 6:54 pm

After ten years on here im called a newbie? So sad.