January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Bonovox
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Euro doesn’t dig the energy as far offshore as the 00z. That’s good.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Monty wrote: Thu Jan 14, 2021 10:38 am Curious to see what this euro run spits out for later next week. Blocking looks better organized by day 5/6. Energy dropping in from the north along the coast.
Looks interesting.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Not much cold air around on the Euro compared to the GFS.
1.png
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*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

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#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

That low sliding down the coast on day 9 has snow written all over it.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Slushfall accumulations for the end of next week.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Jan 14, 2021 10:55 am That low sliding down the coast on day 9 has snow written all over it.
Almost.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Jan 14, 2021 11:01 amAlmost.
Closer look.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

:dunno:


Euro:
euro.png
GFS:
gfs.png
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: Thu Jan 14, 2021 10:44 am That fits my earlier thinking of a progression similar late Jan '96, just delayed by five days or so.

Or we could go full out and say late Jan - early Feb 1929 (as that 500mb configuration is the best match for the upcoming pattern), but that's probably not happening. :lol:
To be honest, I'd much rather have late January 1996. The 1929 arctic blast was dry with very little snow. January 1996 was snowier. :thumbup:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Decent finish to the Euro. Better runs ahead. :thumbup:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

If it gets very cold and dry, I don't want to be outside. If it's slightly cooler like -3 then that's better for being outside.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

AbbyJr wrote: Thu Jan 14, 2021 11:02 am To be honest, I'd much rather have late January 1996. The 1929 arctic blast was dry with very little snow. January 1996 was snowier. :thumbup:
1929 was leagues better than 1996. 20-40cm accumulated over several days across Metro Vancouver just as a deep freeze set in for about a week with highs below -5c and lows near -15c. Then we completely dried out for about half a month in early-mid Feb.

The Fraser froze solid enough by early Feb that people were skating on the river in New West. The first half of January was chilly with average temps around 1-2c which primed the river for a freeze when the arctic air hit.

See this article for more info: https://www.google.com/amp/s/www.cbc.ca/amp/1.3926794
skating-on-the-fraser-1929.jpg
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Hawk »

Bonovox wrote: Thu Jan 14, 2021 11:01 amCloser look.
lmao...Abby gets cold rain. Sorry buttees in the valley West :thumbdown:
January 2025 incoming..looks like more Pineapples..Happy New Year! :think:
#patternlock with #patternshift mid month :D
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

El Nito took over the NCEP!
2021011412_054@007_E1_yvr_I_NAEFS@EPSGRAMS_dz1000@500_360.png
2021011412_054@007_E1_yvr_I_NAEFS@EPSGRAMS_tt@surf@nt@pr@ws@surf_360.png
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