January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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Bonovox
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

wetcoast91 wrote: ↑Tue Jan 12, 2021 11:20 am 1969 alright... :lol:

Much milder run.

Image
Funny how you’ll cherry pick some frames from the Op, but refuse to mention the ensembles. You’re just a delight. ;)
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

2021011212_054@007_E1_yvr_I_NAEFS@EPSGRAMS_tt@surf@nt@pr@ws@surf_360.png
2021011212_054@007_E1_yvr_I_NAEFS@EPSGRAMS_dz1000@500_360.png
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Wintergirl »

Thank you for explaining a bit to me, maybe one day I will figure it all out. I just want something other than this boooorrrring pattern we are stuck in. Is it too much to ask for some outflow winds and snow?! Outflow winds are my absolute favorite :thumbup: just need some snow so we do not need to drive up logging road anymore to find it. So will keep my eyes glued to this page for updates :clap:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Jan 12, 2021 12:29 pm Funny how you’ll cherry pick some frames from the Op, but refuse to mention the ensembles. You’re just a delight. ;)
You'd rather have the ensembles on your side than the op? Pffff
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by VanCitySouth »

More immediately, Euro has the windstorm tonight but the others don't, that about the long and short of it? Who's more likely to be right given current conditions?
2024-25 season stats:
Climo :cancel: 0 to 0 :14clown: GFS

Season total: 1 trace (Teflon on Nov 18)
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Bonovox
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Tue Jan 12, 2021 12:41 pm More immediately, Euro has the windstorm tonight but the others don't, that about the long and short of it? Who's more likely to be right given current conditions?
Not sure, but the Euro can be prone to over do gusts.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

NITO searching for and finding ONE frame that shows a rug pull.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

https://twitter.com/MJVentrice/status/1 ... 16993?s=19
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2022/23 season snowfall: 76.8cm

:team: :snowwindow: :snowman:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Glacier »

Warmest [almost] first half of winter since 1939/40...
kamloopsbcwinterwarm.png
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

VanCitySouth wrote: ↑Tue Jan 12, 2021 12:41 pm More immediately, Euro has the windstorm tonight but the others don't, that about the long and short of it? Who's more likely to be right given current conditions?
Some peak gust maps from the mesoscale models.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Tue Jan 12, 2021 12:29 pm Funny how you’ll cherry pick some frames from the Op, but refuse to mention the ensembles. You’re just a delight. ;)
But if the operational showed historic cold and snow, he would say the models are over amplifying the ridge.

Some things never change. :lol: :clap:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by wetcoast91 »

AbbyJr wrote: ↑Tue Jan 12, 2021 12:51 pm But if the operational showed historic cold and snow, he would say the models are over amplifying the ridge.

Some things never change. :lol: :clap:
Fine. 1969. 1950.

50-200cm of snow with some deadly windchills are coming. Cover those pipes and stock up food while you can.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by tyweather »

Hurray! Nito is on board. :lol:
Why not try cycling to work, grocery store, anywhere!
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

tyweather wrote: ↑Tue Jan 12, 2021 1:01 pm Hurray! Nito is on board. :lol:
Lol
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

There’s a decent chance of cooler weather and probably some snow or wet snow is possible end of next week
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