January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
Post Reply
User avatar
Bonovox
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 6430
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:10 pm
Location: Ladner
Elevation: Sea Level
Has thanked: 4571 times
Been thanked: 14722 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

I’m not an expert on the MJO, but it is apparently emerging out of the tropics and that can help determine the strength and amplification of the NPAC block. The EPS handles the MJO the best from what I have read, so that will be the most important ensemble for us to follow. Again, I’m not very knowledgeable on this topic, so I could be wrong.
Spring/Summer :sick: Fall/Winter :thumbup:

Ladner - Elevation: Sea Level

Wx Station: https://tempestwx.com/station/41362/grid
Top
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 9:38 am I’m not an expert on the MJO, but it is apparently emerging out of the tropics and that can help determine the strength and amplification of the NPAC block. The EPS handles the MJO the best from what I have read, so that will be the most important ensemble for us to follow. Again, I’m not very knowledgeable on this topic, so I could be wrong.
From what I know the GFS struggles badly with the tropics. So makes sense. EPS for the win
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
Top
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9848
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12034 times
Been thanked: 21749 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 9:43 am From what I know the GFS struggles badly with the tropics. So makes sense. EPS for the win
Speaking of GFS struggles, the 12z seem to be running now.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Top
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 2435
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 3836 times
Been thanked: 5938 times
Contact:
Contact stuffradio

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 9:45 am Speaking of GFS struggles, the 12z seem to be running now.
You better go catch it!
Top
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9848
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12034 times
Been thanked: 21749 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 10:05 am You better go catch it!
computer_guy_4.gif
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Top
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Looks like the GFS is going bigly cold in the long range. Strong Alaskan ridge
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
Top
User avatar
stuffradio
Site Admin
Site Admin
Posts: 2435
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:07 pm
Location: Maple Ridge
Has thanked: 3836 times
Been thanked: 5938 times
Contact:
Contact stuffradio

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by stuffradio »

This is the bigliest cold in a while.
gfs_T2ma_nwus_60.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
Top
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9848
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12034 times
Been thanked: 21749 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Look at that tilt.
2.png
1.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Top
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 10:23 am This is the bigliest cold in a while.

gfs_T2ma_nwus_60.png
That’s Yuge
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
Top
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6714
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 562 times
Been thanked: 11592 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

Thats glorious. The trend continues to improve. If it keeps going at this rate its going to be a Day After Tomorrow scenario in two weeks.
Top
User avatar
PortKells
Storm Chaser
Storm Chaser
Posts: 6714
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:08 pm
Location: Port Kells
Elevation: 78m
Has thanked: 562 times
Been thanked: 11592 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by PortKells »

stuffradio wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 10:23 am This is the bigliest cold in a while.

gfs_T2ma_nwus_60.png
Its official: Nito has been impeached. His reign of terror is over. Now he will likely fight in court to prove these runs are fraudulent outliers with big dumps of fraudulent snow.
Top
John
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 2603
Joined: Tue Feb 19, 2019 11:52 am
Location: Valley
Has thanked: 3968 times
Been thanked: 4240 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by John »

PortKells wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 10:41 am Its official: Nito has been impeached. His reign of terror is over. Now he will likely fight in court to prove these runs are fraudulent outliers with big dumps of fraudulent snow.
His account should be suspended for a minimum 2 weeks
Top
User avatar
BhamMe
Cloud Watcher
Cloud Watcher
Posts: 96
Joined: Thu Nov 21, 2019 3:29 pm
Location: Bellingham
Elevation: 100 ft
Has thanked: 66 times
Been thanked: 178 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by BhamMe »

Catnip wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 9:23 am In the meantime, here is the extended GEFS:

10-15.png
10-15t.png
15-20.png
15-20t.png
20-25.png
20-25t.png
25-30.png
25-30t.png
30-35.png
30-35t.png
15 days of cold? Love this!
Top
User avatar
Monty
Weather Enthusiast
Weather Enthusiast
Posts: 4477
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 2:56 pm
Has thanked: 932 times
Been thanked: 9249 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Nice improvements on the 12z Canadian ensemble
North end of Shawnigan Lake. Southern Vancouver island. 500ft
Top
User avatar
Catnip
Moderator
Moderator
Posts: 9848
Joined: Sun Feb 17, 2019 4:01 pm
Location: Coquitlam (Mundy Park)
Elevation: 530ft
Has thanked: 12034 times
Been thanked: 21749 times

Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Monty wrote: ↑Mon Jan 11, 2021 11:24 am Nice improvements on the 12z Canadian ensemble
1.png
2.png
You do not have the required permissions to view the files attached to this post.
*Maps are posted for discussion/entertainment purposes only, and not because I necessarily believe them to be true.

:catnip: :alert:

#teamsnow #surprises #beginningofFEB #FEB

2022-2023 Snowfall - 114.5cm

Wx Stn: https://tinyurl.com/yxervg27
Top
Post Reply

Return to “Southern British Columbia - Weather Discussions”