January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Weather reports, analysis etc. pertaining to Southern BC.
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SouthSardiswx
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 10, 2021 10:28 pm I'll need to find some examples but I'm pretty sure we have done well (in terms of cold) in the past with a ridge axis that far west.
Don't be long almost bed time for Gumpy.
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 10, 2021 10:28 pm I'll need to find some examples but I'm pretty sure we have done well (in terms of cold) in the past with a ridge axis that far west.
Extreme example but this is the 500mb reanalysis for January 31st, 1893.
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:typing: :type3:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Maps coming in fast and furious, " I don't think I can hold her any longer Captain!"
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Nito has quietly left the building. ;)
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Forrest Gump »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sun Jan 10, 2021 10:33 pm Nito has quietly left the building. ;)
Shucks , no encore.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Monty »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 10, 2021 10:28 pm I'll need to find some examples but I'm pretty sure we have done well (in terms of cold) in the past with a ridge axis that far west.
If it’s a broad block. Then yep. Big time cold.
809C422F-B50D-4884-BD82-2A343243783F.png
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Catnip »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sun Jan 10, 2021 10:33 pm Nito has quietly left the building. ;)
His current mood:
19F0C921-B999-4898-932C-5BBEBCF1FC9A.gif
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Catnip wrote: ↑Sun Jan 10, 2021 10:38 pm His current mood:

19F0C921-B999-4898-932C-5BBEBCF1FC9A.gif
Haha. You find the best gifs.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Typeing3 »

Monty wrote: ↑Sun Jan 10, 2021 10:34 pm If it’s a broad block. Then yep. Big time cold.

809C422F-B50D-4884-BD82-2A343243783F.png
Looks to be sufficiently broad on the long range ensembles. Great setup to get the coldest anomalies in NA to settle in the north and interior and for the south coast to see a classic arctic blast.

The anemic SE ridge seems to be the weak link so far at this range.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthSardiswx »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 10, 2021 10:44 pm Looks to be sufficiently broad on the long range ensembles. Great setup to get the coldest anomalies in NA to settle in the north and interior and for the south coast to see a classic arctic blast.

The anemic SE ridge seems to be the weak link so far at this range.
You are the weakest link "goodbye"
The 7th annual snowfall contest is canceled due to no snow this winter.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

The 00z Euro ends on an interesting note. That block to the west looks it is trying to merge with the Greenland block.
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by Bonovox »

Anyone staying up for the EPS? :shock:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Typeing3 wrote: ↑Sun Jan 10, 2021 10:44 pm Looks to be sufficiently broad on the long range ensembles. Great setup to get the coldest anomalies in NA to settle in the north and interior and for the south coast to see a classic arctic blast.

The anemic SE ridge seems to be the weak link so far at this range.
Its nice to see the ensembles showing this rather than the operational fantasy runs. Good times ahead. :thumbup:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by AbbyJr »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sun Jan 10, 2021 11:08 pm Anyone staying up for the EPS? :shock:
Yup. :thumbup:
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Re: January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

Post by SouthHillFrosty »

Bonovox wrote: ↑Sun Jan 10, 2021 11:02 pm The 00z Euro ends on an interesting note. That block to the west looks it is trying to merge with the Greenland block.
Would a mega block be good? Or would a merger be bad?
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