January 2021 Forecasts and Discussions

[PortKells]

Unfortunately positivity is not going to make it colder

I support your right to be negative I’m just surprised because you are usually staunchly positive. But like I said, I get it. This climate truly blows. It can break you. And like you say, it doesn’t matter what we think, the weather will do as it pleases.

[Hound]

Where’s STORM? Miss his posts.

He's getting some mugs made.. 5000 for Nito..

[SouthSardiswx]

Can someone post the pretty snowfall maps plz. l saw them on the AF.

[SouthSardiswx]

Isn't the 18Z usually the drunken uncle run.

[PortKells]

I posted the 12z a few pages back. This one is pretty but that one is a ten.

F2BB5324-DAAA-4912-A6AB-29F3B312D632.png

[AbbyJr]

18Z GEFS looks shockingly similar to the operational.

Fun times ahead.

[PortKells]

18Z GEFS looks shockingly similar to the operational.

Fun times ahead.

Haven’t been this confident at 300 hours out, maybe ever really. Thing is it started with the ensembles, not the drunken uncles. Not to mention how often the weeklies spat out these cold snaps. It could always go south but I’m not feeling it.

* I’ve only been following models in detail for really this winter and maybe last so I suppose that’s not a very big statement but anyway. Let’s see what the next 3-4 days look like with the evolution of the pattern and the placement of the blocks.

[Catnip]

GEFS Ensembles North America 500 hPa Height Anom.gif

[Bonovox]

GEFS Ensembles North America 500 hPa Height Anom.gif

Looking good. Hopefully that high doesn’t go any further west though.

[PortKells]

Look at this...Excellent agreement now. All members tanking.

348A4E6E-8FDA-4B86-B566-129083177C54.png

[Storm]

Where’s STORM? Miss his posts.

Here, can't really get excited for model riding yet.

[SouthSardiswx]

Here, can't really get excited for model riding yet.

The rug pull on the 00Z GooFuS tonight.

[VanCitySouth]

I see we're starting to see some clown ranging. Let's go!

[SouthSardiswx]

I see we're starting to see some clown ranging. Let's go!

A lot of members not on board Van man, too gun shy. I'm not buying into it, if El Nito deletes his account you know the ice age cometh.

[PortKells]

A lot of members not on board Van man, too gun shy. I'm not buying into it, if El Nito deletes his account you know the ice age cometh.

I don't think you would ever see all members on board at this range. But I only see like 3 or 4 members actually going up at the end and one of them is cold right before. The trend is remarkably consistent. Hard to imagine things looking better this far out IMO. Still time for us to get bent over as always.